Iran Nuclear Deal: the Death of the Neoconservative Dream.

Iranians celebrate the Nuclear deal and the detente with the West.
Iranians celebrate the Nuclear deal and the detente with the West.

July 16th, 2015.

The End of a Dream.

Following the September 11th attacks,  the US conducted several expeditionary wars of choice involving hundreds of thousands of troops who took tens of thousands of casualties in wars that killed millions, cost trillions and produced failed states as the end result.

In 2007 retired US General Wesley Clark provided some background to these events and spoke of a plan to attack seven nations in five years beginning in late 2001.

“General Wesley Clark: The US will attack 7 countries in 5 years

“We had instead a policy coup in this country, a coup, a policy coup. Some hard nosed people took over the direction of American policy and they never bothered to inform the rest of us.”
“Nobody can tell us where to bomb, nobody.” (Donald Rumsfeld as quoted by Wesley Clark.)

Conversation with a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, November 2001
“Are we still going to attack Iraq?”
“Oh Sir,” he said “it’s worse than that”, he pulled up a piece of paper off his desk and said.
“I just got a memo from the Secretary of Defense that says we are going to attack and destroy the Governments of seven countries in five years! We are going to start with Iraq and then we are going to move to Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and Iran
“These people took control of the policy in the United States.”
“This country was taken over by a group of people with a policy coup. Wolfowitz and Cheney and Rumsfeld and you could name another half a dozen collaborators from the Project for the New American Century. They wanted us to destabilise the Middle East, to turn it upside down, make it under our control”
Retired US General Wesley Clark, 2007.

Of the seven nations on the list  Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and to an extent Syria and Sudan were targeted successfully.* Somalia, the failed state Obama hailed as a success story, was invaded by Ethiopia in 2006 at the behest of the US and is a continuing target of intermittent US drone attacks and special forces raids.

Lebanon and Iran were the other names on the Neocon target list provided by Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld to the Joint Chiefs of Staff in late 2001.

This is far more than a Nuclear deal this is Detente.

The world changed for the better yesterday and  the openly Imperial era of the West in the Middle East appears to be over.

The infantile and aberrant “clash of civilisations” narrative is on life support today,  sustained only by the NATO and Western backed mercenary thugs  the ISIL group and their media promoters.
The dream of the violent overthrow of the Government of Iran by the US is over and there seems to be nothing that Sheldon Adelson, Haim Saban, Netanyahu or any of the other Zionist “monsters of the universe” can do about it.
The false Zionist narrative imposed upon the US in the wake of the attacks of September 11th, 2001 has been discarded. All the lies, the millions of lies that continue to be told in the Zionist owned and controlled Western media, have failed.
The Zionist  project to use the US military as their spearhead to destroy Israel’s  (largely imaginary) enemies in the Middle East is seemingly at an end.

This is not merely a Nuclear deal, this is detente. This is Iran making tremendous, even ridiculous concessions, in order to facilitate a re-entrance to the mainstream international community and especially to restore the relationship between Iran and the West.
It seems inevitable now that full diplomatic relations will resume between Iran and the West, and presumably in the near future. the US will reopen their Tehran Embassy for the first time since the Islamic Revolution. Britain has already announced it’s intention to reopen it’s (more recently closed) Tehran Embassy.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.

Iran and the Nuclear Crisis.
The entire Iran nuclear crisis was largely a work of fiction. It was never clear that Iran was even attempting to build a Nuclear weapon. According to US intelligence, the Iranian Nuclear weapons project ceased in 2003 and was never anywhere close to producing an actual weapon.
The intelligence that pointed to the program up to 2003 itself appeared to be planted on a laptop that “helpfully” turned up just as the Imperial project looked upon Iran as the next target.
The Iranians never produced Uranium enriched beyond 20%, the enrichment level for weapons grade material is at least 90% with optimum results from 95%+ pure Uranium, so the Iran nuclear program never came close to producing a weapon, but the reasons for the Iranians enriching to that level remain unclear.
The Nuclear crisis almost seems to have been engineered as the tool of detente between Iran and the West although much of the energy behind the crisis was sincere and directed towards military engineered regime change.
Clearly this deal offers tremendous benefits to Iran, in exchange for major concessions but this does not mean that Iran is suddenly going to have things all it’s own way in the Gulf or the broader Middle East.

Obama and iden announce the Nuclear deal with iran, July 14th, 2015.
Obama and iden announce the Nuclear deal with iran, July 14th, 2015.

The United States.
This represents a possible important turning point for US foreign policy in two important respects.

The first is the obvious recourse to a more conciliatory and non-confrontational policy in the Muslim world.On the strategic,  if not tactical level.(bearing in mind the US is currently staging air attacks in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and Yemen!)
The policy of confrontation and occupation in Iraq, Afghanistan and the smaller wars, has been a disaster and an attempt to repeat the Iraq episode in Iran would have seen the end of the US as a great power.

The decision to abandon military confrontation in the Iran case was also achieved in a deal that was brokered by the other current Great powers, China and Russia and this points to a United States that is ready to acknowledge that fact and work within those parameters rather than going down in flames seeking to cling to sole or predominant superpower status as fading empires are prone to doing..
Obama is understood to represent the interests of the “realist” or “Brzezinski” faction in the US and within the CIA.

History will apportion the blame and weigh the consequences of what the Obama administration has done but this deal  represents a small and belated delivery on Obama’s promise to be an anti-war President and means that there is at least something on the positive side of the ledger of the Obama Presidency. Many would argue that this step does not come close to redeeming the Presidency of the “nowhere man.” The Obama Foreign policy legacy remains one of destruction and failure in Libya, Afghanistan, Syria and the Ukraine.

The Israeli Prime Minister during his customary hysterical speech in response to the deal.
The Israeli Prime Minister during his customary hysterical speech in response to the deal.

Israel.
Israel is facing an almost unprecedented diplomatic defeat, the loss of prestige, the psychological blow is tremendous. The paid lackeys in the US Congress and the Western media cannot hide the fact that Israel is now completely isolated from the West in it’s one dimensional confrontational approach towards Iran.

The Western narrative and the Israeli narrative have departed ways.

Iran is no threat to Israel
The material consequences for Israel from this are almost non- existent. Hezbollah will presumably see an infusion of new and better weaponry, but the truth is that Hezbollah remain deeply embroiled in the Syrian Civil War and while the Hezbollah group are more than a match for the Sunni extremists backed by the West and the Gulf monarchies in Syria, Hezbollah will pose no real or significant threat to Israel in the foreseeable future.

Israel’s Solution

If Israel want to pretend they  fear Iran and Hezbollah, the answer is to leave the Occupied West Bank, East Jerusalem and Golan Heights and end the Gaza blockade and the conflict will be over. Hezbollah’s or Iran’s arsenal will be of no relevance to Israel either way.
The real consequence for this will be hat the event is part of a pattern of international isolation that Israel is increasingly encountering. The BBC had the temerity yesterday to name Israel as a Nuclear state. Scrutiny of Israel’s position on this issue , the rank hypocrisy of a Nuclear armed rogue state calling for war will only add further impetus to the movement to Boycott the Apartheid Zionist state.
It is now too late for Israel to act against Iran, and this was never the preferred option anyway.An attack on Lebanon remains an option for Israel as an attempt to violently express their frustration (as the Saudis have been doing in Yemen for almost four months now) or in the hope of forcing the West to  “choose sides’ with Israel against Hezbollah.
This is the most stunning defeat for the Zionist movement since Israel’s inception but the only actual threat to Israel is the increasing international awareness of the nature of the occupation as an apartheid system.

The last King Of Saudi Arabia? King Salman.
The last King Of Saudi Arabia? King Salman.

Saudi Arabia.
Israel characteristically is providing the histrionics but the House of Saud are clearly the primary target of this agreement. Israel has been sidelined, Saudi Arabia were REPLACED.

Iran is clearly going to be the primary power in the Gulf region in the future along side the United States. It seems that a decision has been made to target the House of Saudi for destruction
It is not clear why the decision was made and this is only an intuitive claim but there are small tangible signs that at least certain elements of the CIA are preparing to target the Saudi monarchy and whether that eventuates or not the Saudis have just been cut loose by the United States, pure and simple.

While the Government of Saudi Arabia is a key sponsor of Sunni extremists who have clearly been a key source of international instability. The  removal of the House of Saud would be very risky and likely lead to a three sided Civil war between al Qaeda and the Saudi Government with a side war in the East where the Shia majority in that region will   probably attempt to achieve defacto independence in a similar manner to the Iraqi Kurds.

The Nuclear deal represents a tremendous downgrading of Saudi Arabia as a US ally. Iran and it’s allies now represent a greater concentration of energy resources than the Saudis and their allies.
This was one piece that had to be put into place in order to do away with the House of Saud, who will presumably be replaced by chaos with the Al Nusra front fighting against whatever is left of the hOuse of Saud with a Sectarian Civil war at the same time in the Shia majority oil rich East of Saudi Arabia.

Republican Congressman Ben Sasse, in a just world he would be a streetwalker on the SUnset Boulevard, ibstead he works for Israel.
Republican Congressman Ben Sasse.

The Memes.

State Sponsor of Terror and Sectarianism.

None of the groups that Iran supports in the Middle East conduct or have recently conducted mass casualty attacks on civilian targets.

The Ansurallah group fighting in Yemen are a fairly standard militia, they do not attack civilian targets deliberately in Yemen nor during their many incursions into Saudi Arabian border areas in recent weeks.

The Ansarallah Houthi group does not follow orders from Iran anyway as it recently came to light that iran had advised the Ansarallah group not to attempt to take the capital city Sa’ana by force. The Ansarallah group did the exact opposite and attacked the capital .

Hezbollah are currently fighting the al Nusra Front and IS remnants in Western Syria. During their years long involvement in Syria Hezbollah have been fighting a grinding conventional war against the enemies of the West IS and al Nusra Front. None of these operations bear any relationship to terrorism it is regular warfare.

The Iraqi Shia militia groups on the other hand have been responsible for very serious persecution of Sunni Iraqis and did conduct what amounted to “sectarian cleansing” operations in Baghdad that saw Sunni neighborhoods disappear and mixed areas become Shia dominated. There are many issues with the Iraqi Shia militia groups but there is no indication that any of these actions are being undertaken with Iranian instructions or anything approaching it.

If the recent history of the Middle East is examined honestly it is clear that the rise of Iranian proxies has been as a result of Iran successfully capitalising on primarily Western acts of aggression in the region.

In 1982 Hezbollah did not exist, the group formed in response to the needless Israeli invasion of 1982 that saw tens of thousands of Lebanese civilians slaughtered in months of carpet bombing from the Israeli Air Force.

The Israeli occupation of Lebanon lasted until the year 2000, Hezbollah were the most dedicated and successful group that opposed the Israeli occupation and Hezbollah’s prestige and power spring from their response to Israeli aggression in Lebanon. It was not Iran who started the war.

The same type of thing happened in Iraq. Iran’s allies came to power in Iraq because Iran has a Shia majority and the US toppled Saddam Hussein’s secular government in an illegal war of aggression. The ascent of Iran in Iraq was completely due to the actions of the US and Iran simply capitalised on the fact that the imposition of Democracy on Iraq made it absolutely certain that a pro Iran party or parties would be in power because ALL the major Shia factions in Iraq have a close relationship with Iran.

Iran’s comparitive rise to power in the region traces back to these two seminal acts of Western agression in Lebanon and Iraq so the portrait of Iran as a destabilising force is pretty unfair and dishonest.

The state sponsor of terrorism accusation is pure nonsense.

Nuclear Threshold State.

The Western media have struggled to manage their dual  loyalties to Israel and the US, often dealing with the contradiction by both gushing and fretting in the same report. When Israel’s interests are at stake the facts can never be allowed to get int the way and nonsense such as this from the Mail Online is the result.

Critics warn Arab rivals will not ‘sit idly by’ after Iran’s atomic accord | Daily Mail Online

“Yesterday’s announcement was met with a profound wariness in the Arab world, where there are fears of Tehran gaining a nuclear weapon and deep skepticism that the accord will prevent that from happening. Critics of the U. S-led negotiations warned that the other nations in the Middle East will ‘not sit idly by’ while Iran develops its nuclear capabilities. Republican Senator Ben Sasse said: ‘Sadly, the Administration just lit the fuse for a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.”

The Mail alludes to the “profound wariness” of the Arab world without citing any source and then turns to a Zionist US Republican Senator to voice the views that were previously attributed to the “Arab world.”
The premise that Iran is trying to build a Nuclear weapon is itself a ridiculous and hackneyed trope with little basis in reality.
‘We all know Iran’s neighbours will not sit idly as the world’s largest state-sponsor of terror becomes a nuclear-threshold state.’” US Republican Ben Sasse.

The dishonesty in the statement from the notorious lobby mouthpiece Sasse is very plain. The description of Iran becoming a nuclear threshold state is not anchored in reality. It is psychotic.

Iran is agreeing to give up two thirds of it’s centrifuges, 98% of all fissile material and to reduce the maximum level of Uranium enrichment from 20% to 3.67% so Sasse is simply ignorant or a total liar, or both.

Nuclear Agreement Text.

271547537-Joint-Comprehensive-Plan-of-Action.pdf

A Path Forward.
There are undoubtedly many cynical and self interested motives behind this agreement and much cause for wariness but the methods of conflict resolution that have succeeded in this case could  be used to solve all human conflict (in theory at least) if the will was there to do so .The events of the post 911 era have proven yet again just how ineffective high explosives are in achieving positive political outcomes. War is a broken formula..

If the US can achieve detente with Iran, facilitated by Russia, how absurd is the new Cold War? It is completely ridiculous. The entire posture from the West towards Russia has been completely  counterproductive since the end of the Cold War.

There is no rational basis for Russia and the United States to be enemies, any more than there was for the US and Iran, but Russia and the US have many more common interests even than Iran and the US. There is blame on all sides in the Ukraine but the West needs to accept that the multipolarity of power is now a fact and is not a threat to the West, only to the delusional world domination project. The West should help implement the Minsk accords, accept the annexation of Crimea as a consequence of the Maidan coup and abandon the anti-Russian sanctions that have caused unnecessary economic harm to both Russia and Europe to the benefit of none.

Iran & IAEA still to resolve ‘outstanding issues’ despite deal

The Plan — according to U.S. General Wesley Clark (Ret.)

Israeli Nuclear Attack on Syria, All Known Footage

.*Sudan was partitioned in 2011. The new South Sudan state descended within months into a brutal Civil war that continues to this day. There are two Governing Authorities within the South Sudan, a catastrophically failed state from day one.