Ankara Bombing: the False Flag that Failed.

Army service buses burn after an explosion in Ankara, Turkey, Feb. 17, 2016. Defne Karadeniz—Getty Images
Army service buses burn after an explosion in Ankara, Turkey, Feb. 17, 2016. Defne Karadeniz—Getty Images
Euronews image of bus damaged in the Ankara blast.
Euronews image of bus damaged in the Ankara blast.
Rescuers and bystanders in the immediate aftermath of the Ankara attack.
Rescuers and bystanders in the immediate aftermath of the Ankara attack.

February 20th, 2016.

“After this, we hope our allies will see the YPG as the extension of the terrorist organization PKK. … Those who see an organization that is the enemy of Turkey as friendly will lose Turkey’s friendship.”

Turkish Prime Minster Ahmet Davotoglu. February 18th, 2016. (Source)

the Ankara False Flag Flopped.

In  one of the most amazing investigations in human history the Turkish Government managed to wholesale solve the Ankara bombing attack within 24 hours of the blast.

 

The presumably mangled remnants of the bomber were positively identified, the cell supporting was found and arrested and the evidence was complied in a dossier to be presented to the United Nations as part of an attempt to have the YPG designated as a terrorist organisation. The overall goal was undoubtedly to cause the US to end their alliance with the YPG and rejoin Al Nusra, Isis, Turkey and Saudi Arabia in a war against Russia and Iran over Syria.

 

Erdoğan says no doubt YPG behind Ankara attack, urges allies to label PYD as terrorist group

The US treats the claims of Turkey with contempt.

Statements from the US State Department make it crystal clear that the Ankara attack failed in it’s objective to cause the US to cut ties with the Syrian Kurdish YPG militia and fall in line with Turkey’s interests in Syria.

State Department Spokesman John Kirby indicated in the briefing of February 18th that the US regards the identity of the Ankara perpetrators as “an open question” showing that the US does not accept the”YPG did it” narrative Turkey has manufactured.

“With respect to the claims of responsibility, we’re in no position to confirm or deny the assertions made by the Turkish Government with respect to responsibility. As far as we know, that’s – as far as we’re concerned, that’s still an open question. And we understand that there’s an investigation ongoing, so I’m not in a position one way or another to ascribe responsibility.”

Daily Press Briefing – February 18, 2016

Further to that, Kirby indicated that the status of the YPG has not changed in the eyes of the US, that “they remain an important ally against the Islamic State group.” The understudy followed this on the 19th with:

They have been very effective partners on the ground in northern Syria, as part of a broader group of forces fighting in northern Syria, in pushing back ISIL. And we’ve not seen, in our assessment, any inclination for them to do anything else other than take the fight to Daesh.”

Daily Press Briefing – February 19, 2016

So it is over, they have failed again.

US has not yet assigned blame for Turkey attack, White House says

Turkey-US dispute over Syrian Kurdish PYD widens

Turkish Groups Claim of Responsibility Completely Contradicts Government Narrative.

After a silence that lasted several embarrassing days a claim of responsibility for the Ankara attack was made by a Kurdish splinter group named the Kurdestan Freedom Falcons (Teyrênbazê Azadiya Kurdistan‎) or TAK.

TAK claims responsibility for Ankara bombing

This group were last in the news in December 2015 when they were blamed for a mortar attack on an Istanbul airport that left one civilian worker dead and another injured. That attack was itself somewhat odd as there was a dispute as to whether the casualties were caused by a bomb or mortar attack.

Prosecutor’s office denies reports that mortar attack caused İstanbul airport blast

The previous incidents attributed to the TAK date back to 2011 and 2012, two bomb attacks on security forces targets that left two victims dead and several wounded between them.

So it seems highly unlikely that the TAK went from being able to kill one or two soldiers at best to being able to penetrate the major Government zone in Ankara near the parliament and launch such a devastating attack.

Never having heard of them before today I have not had a chance to investigate the TAK but I have previously come across the fact that the PKK were themselves the beneficiary of historical assistance from Turkish intelligence.

Abdullah Ocalan: Is The Famed Kurdish Leader A Double Agent Working For Turkish Intelligence Against His Own Party, The PKK?

Key Contradictions.

The TAK claim directly contradicts the claims made about the attack by the Turkish leadership in several core areas.

Turkey claimed the bomber was a Syrian Kurd named Salih Necar, the TAK claim the bomber was a Turkish native named Abdülbaki Sönmez a 26 year old from the eastern town named Van. (Source)

The claim also contradicts the Turkish claims that the Syrian YPG were involved and removes all the elements of the story that relate to Syria.

The claim is likely a face saving move concocted by an unknown intelligence agency. It is a compromise.

Either the TAK or the Government of Turkey are lying about the authors of the Ankara attack, that is clear.

Turkey should have understood that ISIS are the only currently acceptable all purpose patsy who can safely be blamed for almost any act of violence anywhere. False flags that do not support the core War on Terror Mk.2  narrative are given short shrift.

The Western media were completely bewildered,unsure what brand of propaganda message they were expected to deliver. Several in Australai  chose to edit the US/YPG relationship from the story entirely and present to their readers the narrative of the YPG as a Russian and Syrian proxy. The local Murdoch rags printed a story(no byline,no agency even) that edited the core story, the dispute between the US and Turkey over the status of the YPG entirely, and framed the story this way: “(Turkish PM) Davotoglu…warned Russia, which Turkey accuses of backing the YPG that Moscow would be held responsible for future attacks.” etc.

They have completely mischaracterised the YPG, edited from the story the far longer and more extensive US/YPG relationship, which is the core issue, accepted at face value the laughable claim of the Turkish Government and then insinuated that the YPG are a Russian proxy, which is utter crap and anyone who pays any attention at all knows it is simply crap.

Syrian Kurds reject involvement in Ankara blast

The War in Syria is almost over and the carve up is underway.

The infantile nature of these people would be amusing were it not so dangerous, but the US has taken a position and it is that they will let Russia, Syria and Iran win in Syria in return for a pro-US Kurdish autonomous zone in North eastern Syria.

The Saudis and Turks can either try and stage another Neoconservative coup in the United States or they can come to terms with the reality of the situation. Hopefully the latter, but the point is a position has been taken. It is over, it is not happening so they should just accept defeat and try and salvage what they can of their own futures.

Legitimate Concerns?

As far as Turkey’s concerns about a Kurdish statelet on their southern border, these are legitimate concerns, however Turkey long ago voided that card when it cynically chose to support the Syrian jihadists in their criminal attempt to overthrow the Syrian state.

If Turkey valued stability they should not have been trying to destroy Syria with their army of mercenaries and brainwashed fools. Their actions created the vacuum into which the militants seized territory and opened the door to the Kurds of the North to fill the void assisted by the US.

By choosing to support the violent overthrow of Syria, Turkey lost the right to whine about the “wrong people” filling the vacuum they helped create.

Conspiracy Theories.

Stories in the pro “Caliph” Erdogan media suggest that the Government is trying to promote the “Russia and Syria did it ” conspiracy theory and it seems some people in Turkey are actually buying that nonsense.

“Some intelligence sources in Ankara believe the bombing could be an act by Syrian military intelligence, perhaps backed by Russia. After all, the explosion took place very close to the air force command, which could be taken as a message of retribution for Turkey’s Nov. 24 downing of a Russian fighter jet”(Source)

Logic and reality show us that Russia is not seeking a war with Turkey, it is doing the opposite.

If Russia wanted to attack Turkey they would have bombed the Turkish Artillery pieces sitting out in the open in the border region shelling Syria.

Raining Shells: Turkish army fires on Kurdish forces in Syria

Car bombs.

There have been apparent PKK car bombs in recent times, a massive attack in Diyarbakir tore the front off the local police station and left civilians and police dead in January.

Turkey: At least 5 dead, 36 injured in blast at Cinar police department in Diyarbakir

This is a regrettable incident but an attack on a security target (civilians died) in a war zone during a war is a completely different kettle of fish to a massive car bomb deep inside the security zone of the capital, within hundreds of feet of the parliament and military headquarters.

The Diyarbakir bombing was not a major news story in the West, on the contrary it was ignored and the Government of Turkey did not try and utilise the attack for political gain. The atmospheric difference between genuine guerrilla attacks and synthetic terror are stark and represent part of a broad repeating pattern.

Conclusion.

We know from a fifty year history of synthetic terror that when a “game changing” event arises at the perfect time and is cynically exploited by people who solve the crime with remarkable speed that it is almost certain that these same people or their cut-outs were responsible for the event that is being exploited to achieve their stated goals.

Russia is not seeking to enter or attack Turkey, merely to defeat the enemies of Syria in Syria. Russia has decided to try and avoid conflict with Turkey. Multiple provocations have been ignored, Turkey’s attempt to end the US/YPG alliance and their repeated requests for the US to choose between they and the Syrian Kurds show how arrogant and deluded the Ankara Government have become.

This was merely another failed provocation and like the steady stream of media lies, can be expected to continue until the war is over.

Russia Defense Report – Feb. 20, 2016: Russian Military Grouping in Syria

Turkish Intelligence Bombed Ankara… Again.

Aftermath of the Ankara bombing of February 17th, 2016.
Aftermath of the Ankara bombing of February 17th, 2016.

February 18th, 2016

“ISIS has not targeted Turkey except that there have been a couple of incidents that have been attributed to ISIS, but I don’t believe that ISIS actually did them, I think the Turkish Intelligence service did it.”

Former CIA Officer Phillip Giraldi, December 2015.

Turkish Intelligence Bombed Ankara Again.

The Turkish capital Ankara has been struck by a large car or truck bombing that has left at least 28 people dead and dozens more wounded. The attack took place near a military barracks and appears to have targeted a bus full of Turkish soldiers.

Car bomb attack on military in Turkish capital kills 28

This attack is going to be blamed on the Kurdestan Workers Party (PKK) and used to justify an intensification of the Turkish involvement in Syria.

Erdoğan says Turkey to fight forces behind Ankara bombing

There is no logic in the idea that either the PKK nor ISIS/Daesh would target the Turkish military at this time. Neither has anything to gain from this crime. The only credible suspect in this attack is Turkish intelligence and their cut-outs.

The Kurds were blamed.

The Government of Turkey are claiming that the Syrian based Kurdish group the YPG currently winning a war in Northern Aleppo with US and Russian support despite Turkish artillery bombardment, were responsible for the attack.

Davutoğlu says Syrian Kurdish YPG behind Ankara attack

Turkey has identified the perpetrator of the Ankara bombing attack that killed 28 people as a member of the Syria Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) militia working with militants from the terrorist Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), Prime Minister Davutoğlu said.

In a live television speech, Davutoğlu said the bombing showed that the Syrian Kurdish YPG is a terrorist organization and that Turkey expects cooperation from its allies against the group.

Washington, which has said the YPG is not a terrorist group, has backed the insurgents in the fight against Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) in Syria.

“In light of information we have obtained, it has been clearly identified that this attack has been carried out by the members of terrorist organization inside Turkey together with a YPG member individual who has crossed from Syria,” Davutoğlu said.

This reveals the plot in plain sight.

The fact that they had to rope the Kurds of Syria into the narrative exposes what has happened. The narrative transparently matches Turkey’s geopolitical agenda. If they had blamed the PKK in Turkey, that would have at least a semblance of credibility. This is a barefaced, childish lie from people who are literally such moronic, low rent thugs as to be incapable of successful deception. They are too brutish and stupid.

Syrian PYD leader rejects responsibility for Ankara attack (The PYD is the political wing of the Syrian Kurds, the YPG are the military wing.)

Motive.

Turkey has been shelling Northern Syria this week in a futile attempt to stave off the rapid advances of Syrian Government forces and Kurdish militia against the jihadists that the Turkish government has backed throughout the Syrian Civil war.

These acts of criminality achieved nothing but to underline how isolated and impotent Turkey’s position had become. The people they were attacking simply continued with their successful offensives and Russia did not allow itself to be provoked.

So the “smart lads” of the MIT were sent in to fix things, but they are simply too stupid to be able to conduct effective false flag terror attacks,  the intent of the plotters should be completely hidden, in their case the motives are always completely obvious.

They have killed hundreds of Turkish civilians in recent similar false flag provocations, it should be no surprise that in their desperate moment they have turned to the murder of their own soldiers in the name, of course of the greater goal.

Elements of US intelligence have already noted that the terror attacks in Turkey are of the false flag variety with conservative former CIA officer Philip Giraldi openly blaming Turkey intelligence for the previous massacres attributed to ISIS/Daesh.

It must be hoped that this attack is also seen for what it clearly was. An absolutely desperate attempt to change the situation and justify a Turkish incursion into Syria to save the jihadist allies as they collapse in Northern Syria.

It is hoped that this latest outrage is the final straw for the Turkish military and they do what should have been done long ago, remove the AKP from power and prosecute the treasonous criminal AK party leadership. These people are the lowest of the low, gangsters from the pits of hell and the sooner they return to their place of origin along with their jihadist proxies, the better for Turkey and broader humanity.

At least 18 killed in huge explosion in car bomb attack in Ankara

Ankara blast: At least 18 dead in Turkish capital explosion – BBC News

Video: Ankara explosion: 20 people killed and 61 hurt after ‘terror attack’ in central district – Telegraph

(Video) Ankara security camera filmed the moment of explosion 17.02.2016 Turke

CCTV FOOTAGE: Moment Ankara Car Bomb Explodes Outside Military Base (17.02.2016)

RAW: Car explosion strikes Ankara, Turkey, targets buses carrying troops

Turkey: Several dead after blast targets military facility in Ankar

Ankara blast

Turkish Artillery Attacking Syrian Kurds as Massive Escalation Threatened.

The aftermath of Turkish artillery barrage in the vicinity of the Menagh Airbase, February 13th, 2016.
The aftermath of Turkish artillery barrage in the vicinity of the Menagh Airbase, February 13th, 2016. (Source)
BBC map shos Menagh airbase with inset of Turkish Syrian border.
BBC map shos Menagh airbase with inset of Turkish Syrian border.
A map of the buffer zone in Northern Syria that Turkey is intent on creating from Azaz in the West to Jarabalus, ISIS final border town to the East.
A map of the buffer zone in Northern Syria that Turkey is intent on creating from Azaz in the West to Jarabalus, ISIS final border town to the East.

Turkish artillery shelled Kurdish positions in Syria

(Short version )

(Long version)

February 14th, 2016.

Turkish Artillery Attacking Syrian Kurds as Massive Escalation Threatened.

“Cessation of hostilities” mirage is dissolving.

Several Turkish politicians including Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu have been alluding to a Turkish escalation into Syria in recent days. This escalation appears to be beginning and in recent hours Turkish artillery shells have been falling on the positions of the Kurdish YPG group in the vicinity of the Menagh Airbase. There are also reports of increased activity by Turkish warplanes in the border region.

The Menagh Airbase was captured by Kurdish fighters earlier this week with the overt support of both Russia and the United States. US and other Western forces are embedded within the YPG units and there were Russian airstrikes and ammunition drops in support of the offensive to seize the airbase.

Syria: Kurdish fighters launch offensive on militant-held Menagh airbase

Syria: Kurdish fighters capture Menagh airbase from militants – SOHR reports

Kurdish YPG & YPG captured airbase Menagh

The Airbase was seized from the al Nusra front, it had been in the hands of rebels since it was seized by a coalition that included ISIS and the Free Syrian Army in August 2013. The seizure was spearheaded by ISIS suicide car/truck bomb attacks and yet in the pro-opposition media the victory was attributed to the Free Syrian Army.

FSA takes control of Menagh air base near Aleppo – Al Arabiya English

Captured Syrian soldiers were beheaded on video by some of the ISIS fighters involved in the assault and the videos were posted on the internet.(Source)

US Ambassador to Syria Robert Ford meeting with Abdul Jbar al Okaidi the leader of the FSA in Aleppo (he fled to Turkey long ago)
US Ambassador to Syria Robert Ford meeting with Abdul Jabbar al Okaidi the leader of the FSA in Aleppo (he fled to Turkey long ago)
Okaidi inside the Menagh Airbase upon it's capture in Ayugust, 2013, the man alongside him is Abu Jandal al Masri, a mid ranking ISIS field commander (Source) and sectarian maniac.
Okaidi inside the Menagh Airbase upon it’s capture in August, 2013, the man alongside him is Abu Jandal al Masri, a mid ranking ISIS field commander (Source) and sectarian maniac.
Abu Jandal al Masri threatens to "kill all the Alawites" at Menagh Airbase in 2013.
Abu Jandal al Masri threatens to “kill all the Alawites” at Menagh Airbase in 2013.
The monster in action. Abu Jandal rants at the Menagh Airbase in August 2013.
The monster in action. Abu Jandal rants at the Menagh Airbase in August 2013.

US Key Man in Syria Worked Closely with ISIL and Jabhat al-Nusra

Moderate Rebels.

According to the Western media and even the NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg, instead of targeting jihadist extremist fighters, the Russian Airstrikes have been targeting “moderate rebels” in Syria belonging to groups such as the Free Syrian Army.

“Russia has mainly targeted opposition groups and not ISIL (ISIS). Airstrikes of Russian planes against different opposition groups in Syria have actually undermined the efforts to reach a negotiated, peaceful solution,” (Source)

Stoltenburg has a problem with Russian bombing of al Qaeda fighters, which seems rather odd.

Yet the Free Syrian Army have been an on/off ally of ISIS for several years now in Aleppo so who on earth are they even talking about?

According to the Munich “Cessation of Hostilities” the al Nusra Front (al Qaeda in Syria) and ISIS/Daesh and their allies are still valid targets.

In the real world it was long ago stated by the US Vice President that there are no moderate militant factions in Syria of any note.

Biden admits there are NO MODERATES and the Arab Monarchies Fund Radical Islamists in Syria

All of the insurgent groups fighting in Syria of any consequence are now or have been the allies of one or both ISIS and al Nusra so they are all fair game. If Turkey and Saudi Arabia enter Syria they will risk devastating consequences beyond the imagination of their deluded leadership who appear intent on starting a major war in order to pursue the dead dream of regime change in Syria. If this leads to major war, history will condemn these criminals until the end of time.

Opposition leader warns of catastrophe in event of Syria incursion

It is interesting to note that the gangsters are no longer even trying to pretend it is about ISIS.

Turkish PM threatens military action against Syrian Kurdish fighters

False Flag a strong possibility.

Given the recent history of false flag terror attacks the Turkish leadership have apparently conducted in Suruc and Ankara and their alleged intimate connection with the al Ghouta false flag chemical attack of August 2013 in pursuit of their geopolitical goals. It would be unsurprising to see a false flag massacre conducted against the refugee population in the border region in the coming days in order to justify the Turkish escalation and invasion of Syria. I am not predicting this will happen, but if it does happen it would be true to form and no-one should believe for a second that the Russians would attack a refugee camp. If anything bad happens to those people in the border region it should be attributed to the Turks and the Saudis until conclusively proven otherwise.

The Saudis did bobm a refugee camp in the early days of the Yemen attack, on March 30th, 2015 a refugee camp was struck by a series of air strikes that left dozens of civilians dead.
None of the people concerned for the fate of the people in Aleppo had a word to say about that criminal massacre however, that is not how it works. Our “side” make honest errors versus the “other side” conduct deliberate atrocities.

Massive Breakthroughs in Syria!

Loyalist fighter in Aleppo during a week of triumph.
Loyalist fighter in Aleppo during a week of triumph.
Citizens of Zahra in Aleppo province celebrate the breaking of the 40 month siege after the Syrian Army and Hezbollah entered the town this week.
Citizens of Zahra in Aleppo province celebrate the breaking of the 40 month siege after the Syrian Army and Hezbollah entered the town this week.
This map gives some idea of the importance of the recent Syiran breakthroughs in Aleppo. The reddish coloured strip in the middle has cut the insurgents in Aleppo into two pockets north and south of the Syrian area of control.
This map gives some idea of the importance of the recent Syrian breakthroughs in Aleppo. The reddish colored strip in the middle has cut the insurgents in Aleppo into two pockets north and south of the Syrian area of control. Area to the left of the map is under the control of the Kurdish YPG and therefore unavailable to the Sunni insurgents.
This map shows the overall situation in Aleppo provicne withthe insyrgent area of control in Eastern Aleppo city almost completely surrounded and cut off. If this is achieved the war may be almost over in Northern Syria. Without some kind of political settlement insurgency will continue indefinitely as in Iraq.
This map shows the overall situation in Aleppo province with the insurgent area of control in Eastern Aleppo city almost completely surrounded and cut off. If this is achieved the war may be almost over in Northern Syria. Without some kind of political settlement insurgency will continue indefinitely as in Iraq.

February 8th, 2016.

Massive Breakthroughs!

Loyalist Victories Prove Russian Presence Has Transformed the Syrian War.

Aleppo victories mean that Insurgents Northern supply line has been severed.

Aleppo City pocket almost encircled.

After four months of Russian Airstrikes the situation in Syria has been transformed and in the past several weeks the Loyalist forces have won important victories in the North and South of Syria with the capture of the key crossroads town Sheikh Miskeen in the South as well as the key towns Salma and Rabia in the northern Latakia province.

Those important victories have this week been eclipsed by the major achievements in Aleppo where the sieges of the towns Zahra and Nubil were lifted after forty months and the loyalist forces have now cut off the insurgents in Northern Aleppo from their supply lines via the Aleppo countryside and the Turkish border. Both sides are taking heavy casualties but the Syrian Army and allies are achieving their objectives, the insurgents are dying and at the same time losing territories they fought hard for years to capture and hold.

Residents Nubl and Az-Zahra meet liberators

International Military Review – Syria, Feb. 8, 2016

International Military Review – Syria, Feb. 4, 2016

International Military Review – Syria, Feb. 5,

SAA/Hezbollah Operations in North Aleppo: Ratyan

Syrian Army And Hezbollah In Heavy Clashes During Assault On Northern Aleppo

The R and U Videos channel is an excellent compiler of footage of the war, almost the raw footage equivalent of the always excellent South Front analysis.

Battles for Syria | February 5th 2016 | Aleppo province

Battles for Syria | February 6th 2016 | North Aleppo Front | Mayer

Battles for Syria | February 7th 2016

Battles for Syria | February 7th 2016 | Aleppo province

Syria: Syrian Army makes push to fully encircle Aleppo

CIvilsain wounded in Russian/Syrian strike is rescued from destroyed byilding in Hama province, January 2016.
CIvilsain wounded in Russian/Syrian strike is rescued from destroyed byilding in Hama province, January 2016.
Child wounded by Syrian/Russian strike is tended to in an Idlib field hospital. January 2016.
Child wounded by Syrian/Russian strike is tended to in an Idlib field hospital. January 2016.

The Suffering is Immense.

There should be no mistake about the fact there is an immense amount of suffering currently being visited upon the beleaguered people of Syria, nor that the Russian/Syrian air campaign is playing a significant role in this suffering and death.

 While many of the areas of fighting in Syria are devoid of civilians, having been emptied during previous battles, many people live in rebel held areas of Idlib, Aleppo and several other provinces and civilians in these areas have died in large numbers at the hands of Russian and Syrian airstrikes targeting militant positions.

The insurgent and Western media propaganda line that Russian Airstrikes are targeting civilians is not supported by facts or logic, but the idea that the Russian Air-force are launching thousands of airstrikes without killing civilians is equally ludicrous and the Russian media do themselves no credit the way they have completely ignored the civilian deaths the air campaign has caused.

Despite this the Syrian-Russian-Iranian operation is worthy of support because a victory for the insurgents in Syria would not see an end to the fighting but would lead to fracture and descent into chaos as competing insurgent warlords vied for power.

Previous victories in Afghanistan and more recently in Libya have seen this descent into chaos and failed statehood status. If the likes of Jaish al Islam, Ahrar al Sham, al Nusra and ISIL/Daesh were vying for power the results would be almost identical to the process that has seen the once thriving Libyan state become a failed and broken state and a base for the extremists who threaten to attack the West and bring instability to wherever they operate.

The only party with any chance of stabilising the situation is the Syrian state, deeply flawed as it is. All other paths lead to long term mayhem and broadening instability.

Syrian displaced by the Aleppo fighting gather near the Kilis border crossing to Turkey. They will be used, the only question is how?
Syrian displaced by the Aleppo fighting gather near the Kilis border crossing to Turkey. They will be used, the only question is how?

Turkey and Saudi Arabia threaten invasion of Syria.

Saudi Troops Headed to Syria? Saudi-Turkey Invasion in Support of ISIS? | Global Research

Turkish, Saudi Ground Operation in Syria Spells Major Trouble for NATO

Saudi Arabia and the mini me Gulf States the UAE and Qatar have responded to this situation by suggesting that they will send troops into Syria to “battle Daesh.”A pretext that should no longer fools anyone.

The Gulf coalition are clearly already suffering a severe shortage of quality ground forces, hence their need to deploy Blackwater/Academi/Xe mercenaries in large numbers on the ground in Yemen. Saudi Arabia is also suffering regular cross border raids from their Yemeni enemies.

As far as Turkey goes they are not going to be able to do anything significant in Syria without the assent of the US and there is little chance of that happening given that the key Turkish target in Syria is the key US ally, the YPG Kurds. It is a non-starter even by Erdogan’s loose standards.

Erdogan calls on US to choose between Turkey or Syrian Kurds | THE DAILY STAR

The US has no interest in choosing between Turkey and the Syrian Kurds, but a leadership change in Turkey may allow the US to solve the dilemma in another manner.

Turkey still supports the regime change operation in Syria but they are not about to attack the Syrian Army inside Syria and find themselves under bombardment from the Russian Air force.

One option they may seek to take would be to corral the tens of thousands of refugees fleeing the Aleppo fighting within Syria and send a “protection force” to institute the long mooted (and even announced in July 2015) safe zone in Northern Syria although whatever happens the presence in Syria of the Russian S400 anti aircraft and missile systems mean the proposed no fly zone is an impossibility short of open war with Russia and the highly factionalised US administration does not seem to support this project therefore it will not happen.

The US refused to support the safe zone prior to the Russian military involvement in Syria, back in July, when the risks and costs were far lower so it seems inconceivable that it would be supported at this time . At a moment of high desperation for the plotters the refugees will presumably be again used to try and rescue the situation.

Syria: Makeshift camp set up for refugees stranded at Turkish border

Messages of Despair and Pleas for help from Insurgents.

“This is my last video from the revolution in the north. Iran and Russia attacked us and the world made war on us destroying the green and the dry.( Apparent Google translate error) The Americans betrayed us and got us into this shameful situation. We thank our allies Turkey and Saudi and Qatar. We needed anti-aircraft weapons but we didn’t get them. So we have to pull out.”

Syria, Northern Aleppo, Militant in Rityan message to People before Withdrawing This Morning.

This video is quite horrific. It consists of a plea for unity among insurgent factions. The wounded fighter is named Abu Homs. It is hard to watch but serves as a reminder that real people are dying unnecessarily in this war. The Syrian opposition contains many Syrian who were duped, manipulated and sold a suite of false promises and lies from their sponsors.

This is what he looked like before he was wounded.

"Abu Homs" before and after he was wounded.
“Abu Homs” before and after he was wounded.

Wounded Insurgent’s Hospital Message

Ending the Carnage.

Even if the Syrian Arab Army and their allies are able to win every battle and destroy the insurgent formations, a political solution will still be required and the insurgents will have to be given some type of autonomy and increased participation in Syrian politics otherwise the insurhency will continue indefinitely long after the war ends, as has happened in Iraq.

The initial round of Syria peace talks were an empty farce with the opposition making the ridiculous demand that the Syrian Government and their allies stop fighting prior to the dialogue. It can only be hoped that the reality of their situation dawns upon them soon and a more realistic and conciliatory outlook will replace the delusional grandstanding that still dominate the opposition public narrative.

The 2016 US Presidential Race.

Florida Senator Marco Rubio has emerged as the most likely successor to Obama in the wake of the Iowa caucus.
Florida Senator Marco Rubio has emerged as the most likely successor to Obama in the wake of the Iowa caucus.

February 3rd, 2016.

The Iowa vote.

After months of nonsense, numerous debates and endless speculation the primary race to become the next US President has finally started in Iowa with a victory for Senator Ted Cruz and a near tie in the Democrat race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders separated by less than half a percent.

Historically victory in Iowa is a very poor indicator of a successful nominee campaign. Iowa and New Hampshire are the places where those who have failed to win popular support discover this and withdraw from the race and/or become irrelevant. After Iowa the race begins to take shape as a two or three way contest where it is far easier to assess the results than in a multi-pronged race such as the initial Republican caucuses.

It is now clear that the campaigns of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ben Carson, and all the dozen or so Republican candidates other than Trump, Cruz and Rubio are not going to win the nomination and as the lesser candidates withdraw the race takes shape and the outcome becomes predictable.

Donald Trump’s bubble burst by Ted Cruz’s Iowa win – The Guardian

The Important Thing.

The important thing to understand before observing the details of some of the recent US political events is this:

The United States is a plutocracy with a voting system rather than a genuine democracy.

The United States is ruled by “entities” that sit largely beyond the public eye and who dedicate themselves to maintaining the fiction of democracy in the US.

There is no big mystery as to the cause of the decline of the US and the living conditions of the US people, it is a consequence of the aggregation of power in the hands of a very small group of people who act in their own interests, have no allegiance to any nation and have harvested the minds of the American people via the mass media over decades for their own benefit but to the immense detriment of humanity.

Democracy is a Sham: We are a Plutocracy

Princeton makes it official — USA Has Become Oligarchy, No Democracy

How America Became an Oligarchy

The Circus.

The unhappy fact that the US is an oligarchy is masked by many things and one of these is the political circus.

This appears to be the reason for the fact that the Republican candidate debates started six months before the first Primary voting and more than a year before the Presidential election.

In lieu of influence it seems Americans are treated to a long, elaborate and frequently entertaining “democracy show.” of the jumbo size, or at least jumbo length variety, like comfort food. 

The Pendulum of Discontent.

Beginning at 1952 with the exception of the single term of Jimmy Carter and the triple Reagan/Bush term, the parties have exchanged the Presidency after eight years for the past 64 years.

In 1952 Republican Eisenhower won the White House and remained for two terms.

Following the 1960 elections were the two terms occupied by John F. Kennedy and  Lyndon B. Johnson.

Richard Nixon won the White House for the Republicans at the 1968 election and along with Gerry Ford the republican party remained in the White House until 1976.

In 1976 Democrat Jimmy Carter came to power and at this point the pattern is broken somewhat with the single carter term followed by the three term Reagan/Bush administration lasting until the 1992 election.

After that the pattern resumes and has continued through the eight Clinton Democrat years, followed by the eight George W. Bush republican years and the eight years for Obama back on the Democrat side.

None of that has any material impact on this years election of course but the pattern is not random and seems to be a function of the pendulum swing away from the party in power due to the decline in the conditions in the USA. One standout is that the only third consecutive term achieved by either party was the George H. Bush term won in the 1988 election.

It was the sitting Vice President who achieved the feat.

This pattern combined with the widespread discontent within the US means that there is an overwhelming likelihood that the next President will be from the Republican side.

Donald Trump admitted there was a problem at least but offered rhetoric where a policy was required.
Donald Trump admitted there was a problem at least but offered rhetoric where a policy was required.

The Republican Race.

Trump.

There is no doubt that there have been many entertaining and even a few illuminating moments during the Trump show, along with the poisonous trash, but given his total dominance of the race up to this point in the media and in the public imagination the truth is that the Trump campaign has probably peaked, the substance required to sustain the campaign has not appeared and despite months of domination of the US political scene, Trump has only the outright support of around 10% of the US population (30% of Republican voters 35% =10.5%) and unless some substance is achieved in the near future, the reality television star and construction magnate has already peaked, his campaign was essentially chaff, he made the circus watchable and deserves credit for at least stating that there is a problem but the Trump campaign has been more theatre than reality, he has played his role to perfection, he provided a lot of false hope and made the circus entertaining through the off season.

Often Trump has appeared to be engaged in self-sabotage and has seemed more saboteur than candidate.

A classic case was the unnecessary ridicule directed against Hispanics in general that sabotaged what was at it’s core a very sound policy regarding the US regaining control of her borders.

Hispanics are a key group of swing voters the Republicans need to target.

No substance.

The substantive policies never appeared, if you look at Trump’s Mexican wall plan in detail, it is absolute nonsense. Trump claims that he will build a wall at the US southern border using the money the US Government seizes from remissions sent to Mexico by illegal immigrant workers, yet Trump also claimed that he planned to deport all the same people whose wages were going to be used to build the wall. It is impossibe to fulfill both promises.

Mexico Shuts Down Trump’s Fantasy About Them Paying for Border Wall | Mediaite

The other obvious flaw is that once these people discovered that the Government planned to seize the remittances they sent home, they would simply find a way to do so within the black market thus providing a fresh stream of income to powerful drug cartels and achieve absolutely nothing.

I was listening to an internet radio show recently and someone very respectable stated that as far as they knew there was no dirt on Trump. Dirt is in the eye of the beholder of course but Trump was a decades long friend of notorious child procurer and convicted abuser Jeffrey Epstein .

Take a Look at Convicted Pedophile Jeffrey Epstein’s Little Black Book

Jeffrey Epstein’s predilection for underage girls was well known prior to his arrest and conviction in the late 2000s so the Trump quote from 2002 where he apparently laughs about this very serious matter is especially galling.

“I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy,” Trump booms from a speakerphone. “He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side. No doubt about it — Jeffrey enjoys his social life.”(Source)

CLINTON & TRUMP BOTH INVOLVED IN PEDOPHILE SEX RING! CUT FROM THE SAME CLOTH!

The Republican candidate and likely next President will presumably then be either Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio. Both are completely fake, multiple lobby “projects” it is the “moderate” huckster Rubio against the fake Conservative huckster Cruz.

Cruz eerily reminiscent of Dracula. Unelectable.
Cruz eerily reminiscent of Dracula. Unelectable.

Cruz.

Ted Cruz is a transparent amoral huckster who poses as a Christian and a Constitutionalist when in fact he is a lifelong lobby lackey who will say anything for money on behalf of power and his ludicrous remarks regarding Israel that saw him booed by a Christian crowd make it clear where his loyalties lie-with his career and the people who can give him the money he needs to sustain it.He talks about the constitution and supports blanket surveillance in breach of the Fourth Amendment right to privacy. That is who he is. A low hypocrite and all around three dollar note.

Cruz claimed that Christians “have no better friend than Israel.” In reality the Christian population suffer the same oppression, land theft and disenfranchisement of their Muslim brethren. All non-Jews of mandate Palestine are second class citizens and for Cruz to pose as a Christian while reading Israeli lobby talking points and ignoring the predicament of the Christians of Palestine is especially disgusting and roves his complete moral and political bankruptcy at a stroke.

Sen. Cruz booed at In Defense of Christians Dinner

Israeli television express their support for Christianity at Easter.

Mocking Jesus on Israeli Zionist TV – צליבת ישו – The Crucifixion of Yeshu

Rubio.

The most popular of the establishment candidates, correctly described by Ted Cruz as the Republican Obama remains the front-runner for the presidency and if the establishment Republican field is pared down significantly in the next several weeks with the obvious also-rans such as Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Jeb Bush dropping out the real pattern of the race will emerge and Rubio who almost matched Trump on unfriendly ground in Iowa will emerge as the logical candidate in the coming months as the establishment presumably intended all along.

Rubio is simply a stuffed shirt, a classic, very competent and obedient puppet.

During the last debate Rubio said the US military need more money to fight ISIL. They currently receive 760 billion dollars a year at a minimum and they cannot blow up a couple of thousand guys with AKs without more?

I predict that Rubio will win the Republican nomination and become the next President because Cruz’s social conservatism, fake as it is, kills him in the mainstream media and more importantly because Rubio is more likeable and looks better on television. I never considered the Trump campaign a serious attempt to win either the nomination or the Presidency and nothing that has happened has shifted this.

The Democrat Race.

By contrast with the mess that is the Republican race, the Democrat race is very simple, the career criminal and proven Neo-conservative sociopath Hillary Clinton is up against the (by US standards) leftist outsider Bernie Sanders.

Bernie Sanders, along with Trump is the only candidate to have caused any enthusiasm whatsoever for the obvious reason that all of the supposed mainstream candidates are pretending that there is no deep or long term problem with the way the US is run. The Republican candidates pretend that the problems within the US are all the result of the Obama presidency whilst Hillary Clinton is actually recommending more of the same.

Based on this assessment there is literally no hope for positive change coming from the Democrat candidates and it is highly likely that the pendulum of discontent will swing again and the next President will be a Republican.

Bernie Sanders.

In the case of Sanders, and this is (embarrassingly) a talking point raised by Anderson Cooper of CNN, Sanders description of himself as a Socialist makes victory impossible for him and his unwillingness to distance himself from the s word and it’s poisonous implications prove that he is just playing.

The fact that Sanders takes the time to explain that he is a Democratic Socialist (rather than a Communist Revolutionary!) only compounds the problem.

(Democratic Debate) Bernie Sanders explains Democratic Socialism

Remember the USSSR? The Evil Empire? The Union of Soviet Socialist Republics?

The USSR was the enemy Americans were brainwashed to hate any and all Socialists and Communists as well for decades. By calling himself a Socialist Sanders is declaring himself an enemy to many people in swing states such as Ohio and especially Florida along with the entire South West. Sanders is a classic “Coast only” candidate with zero chance in a Presidential election against a viable candidate.

Hillary Clinton . A colourful past will haunt her campaign.
Hillary Clinton . A colourful past will haunt her campaign.

Hillary Clinton.

Hillary Clinton remains a genuine contender for the Presidency and the likely Democratic candidate. At this point Hillary Clinton is widely disliked and all around there is simply too much baggage there. It is not impossible that she will face indictment for actions she took as Secretary as State, there seems no doubt that Hillary Clinton behaved unlawfully in the E mail matter as more than twenty of the E-mails she sent via her private server have now been classified forever.

The Obama administration confirmed for the first time on Friday that Hillary Clinton’s unsecured home server contained some of the US government’s most closely guarded secrets, censoring 22 emails with material demanding one of the highest levels of classification.”

US government finds ‘top secret’ information in Clinton emails The Guardian

There is much despair within the ranks of the Democrat hierarchy as they know that Hillary is deeply unpopular and almost certain to lose a general election but she is the least worst applicant.

There are still rumours that another Democrat candidate could enter the race. Whether this actually happens the rumours are a sure sign that the Democrats know that the current nominees are doomed to fail.

Anyone who considers the sociopath description an unfair ad hominem attack should listen to Hillary Clinton cackle and guffaw as she reminisces about the time she helped a child rapist evade justice.

The Hillary Clinton Tapes

Twin Illusions-The False Left and Right Hope Presented by Sanders and Trump.

Twin illusions enable the process to persuade people it is relevant, there is a real choice, if only the right candidate won they might make the required reforms to the US.

The first illusion is that candidates such as Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump are opposed to the establishment, these people are all members of the establishment and all serve their purpose.

The second illusion is that the likes of Trump or Sanders ever had a chance of becoming President. Each of the candidates that has spoken at least some truth (along with Rand Paul) have seemingly deliberately sabotaged their candidacy with statements guaranteed to make them impossible to elect.

Three Acceptable Candidates.

There were and remain three candidates acceptable to the establishment. Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio. All the other candidates are decoys, foils or vandals and all are working towards the goal of victory for one of the three acceptable candidates whether they know it or not.

The Real Problem.

At any rate the real problem in the USA is not wealth inequality, it is power inequality leveraged by wealth. The current structure of US media and politics are designed by the plutocrats to serve their interests, hence the Supreme Court Citizens United judgement regarding electoral funding.

In all cases under all circumstances the aggregation of political power within any small group, whether they be called the Corporate elite in the West today, or a politburo in a Communist state, the problem is the same, the aggregation of power to any one narrow interest group is inherently evil regardless of ideology or program and the entire US political system has been subverted and compromised by the Oligarchs and the basis of this power, in the Federal Reserve and the media cartels and on Wall Street must be tackled before anything will change.

The US constitution, the US system has a great deal of merit on paper but the system has been subverted and a restoration of constitutional, lawful government and a restoration of the rule of law and national sovereignty are required and until underlying structural issues are addressed the Presidential race will remain an empty political pageant and the Presidency itself will be a middle management position to be filled with a stuffed shirt who looks good on television and always remains obedient to the “factions” who put them in power.

Turkey’s Descent into Tyranny.

Refik Tekin in better days.
Refik Tekin in better days.
Kurdish civilian lies bleeding in the street following the Turkish army fire.
Kurdish civilian lies bleeding in the street following the Turkish army fire.
Refik Tekin recovering from the gunshot wound to his leg and awaiting arrest.
Refik Tekin recovering from the gunshot wound to his leg and awaiting arrest.

February 2nd, 2016.

The Plight of Refik Tekin and the Turkey’s Descent into Tyranny.

The footage of civilians coming under fire in Cizre, Turkey was photographed by a man named Refik Tekin, a cameraman and photographer  for the national Turkish television network IMC news. Refik Tekin survived the gunshot wound to the leg he received in the incident that left at least two dead and ten wounded and is recovering in Mardin State Hospital.

Police stand guard awaiting Refik Tekin’s recovery as whilst he lay in hospital Refik Tekin has been designated by a Turkish Court as a “separatist terrorist organisation member”

Refik Tekin: Turkish Cameraman shot in the leg by security forces faces terror charges

Police Judge, Rule on Journalist Refik Tekin

“the order submitted by Şırnak Provincial Security Directorate has instructed to keep Tekin under surveillance during his stay at the hospital and to take him into custody and have his testimony after being released from the hospital.”

“Both the documents prepared by Chief Prosecutor M. Sait Köseoğlu and Şırnak Provincial Security Department use the expression “separatist terrorist organization member” concerning journalist Refik Tekin.”

So having shot and wounded him after opening fire on a non-violent group of people the Turkish authorities are seeking to claim that they were attacking the PKK and therefore Refik Tekin must be a member. It is transparent nonsense but sadly typical of Turkey under late era Erdogan who shows clear signs of delusion.

Rafik Tehin had previously earned the ire of the Turkish ruling party having photographed ISIL/Daesh fighters openly crossing the Turkey/Syria border unimpeded by Turkish officials.

Photos and videos by Refik Tekin (@RefikTekin) | Twitter

ISIS-Kilis-border-crossing
ISIL/Daesh fighters cross the Syrian Turkey border.

AKP Conducting Widespread Assault on Civil Society.

Journalists, Academics and Lawyers targeted by Erdogan regime.

The decision to portray Refik Tekin as a member of the PKK is mirrored by the widespread attempt to intimidate any who would criticise the futile South Eastern operation against the PKK, or mention issues of political corruption. Saying anything that contradicts the official fiction of the Turkish state is enough to warrant dismissal or arrest.

At the most moderate level journalists are sacked for speaking on the subject of Government corruption, a mention of the term shoebox is sufficient to qualify, and any criticism of the Government, even delivered second hand, are grounds for immediate dismissal.

Turkey police find shoeboxes stuffed with $4.5 million cash in bank chief’s home: report – NY Daily News

State-run TRT fires radio show host for reading critical tweet

Turkish newspaper columnist fired over tweet critical of Erdoğan

According to the Committee to Protect Journalists fourteen Turkish journalists are currently incarcerated and  ridiculous charges such as “spreading terrorist propaganda” (applied against completely bland anti war messages) to the ludicrous criminal charge of “targeting members of the Government” (for criticism) and espionage charges for those who have uncovered Turkish support for ISIL/Daesh.

Turkish Journalists Arrested For Espionage After Exposing Corruption | Observer

They are  attempting to make criticism of members of the Government a criminal act. It is an absolute joke that such a state would even be considered a candidate for the EU but the admission of Bulgaria indicates that a gangster government is no disqualification.

Four journalists face trial for ‘insulting’ Erdoğan

Turkish journalist faces eight years in jail for ‘insulting Erdoğan’

List of arrested journalists in Turkey – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Threats abd red crosses on the doors of Academics who signed the anti-war petition.
Threats and red crosses on the doors of Academics who signed the anti-war petition.
Turkish organised crime figure and Erdogan ally Sedan Peker- issued bloodcurdling threats against the anti-war academics.
Turkish organised crime figure and Erdogan ally Sedan Peker- issued bloodcurdling threats against the anti-war academics.
Sedat Peker (sideways in the blue suit) meets with Turkish president Erdogan.
Sedat Peker (sideways in the blue suit) meets with Turkish president Erdogan.

27 Turkish academics detained for signing critical declaration on Southeast

One memorable recent example of the increasingly brazen tyranny of the AKP was the case of the academics detained and charged for signing an anti-war petition. Academics who signed the petition were also targeted by public death threats from the ultranationalist organised crime boss and Erdogan supporter Sedat Peker.

After Erdoğan, crime boss threatens academics who call for peace

Notorious criminal threatens academics calling for peace in Turkey’s southeast

Fascism deepens in Turkey: Erdoğan’s friend threatens to take shower with the blood of scientists demanding peace

Prominent Kurdish human rights lawyer Tahir Elci was shot to death in the street as he gave a press conference calling for peace. Turkish police have unsurprisingly made zero progress in that murder investigation.

Top Kurdish lawyer shot dead in southeast Turkey | Reuters

Press TV journalist Serena Shim‘s death in late 2014 was not an accident and the identity of the perpetrators is no mystery, the key protector and facilitator for ISIl tasks in the border region have been filled by the MIT intelligence organisation.

Serena Shim killed in Turkey days after she claimed intelligence services had threatened her | Daily Mail Online

White House, Media Silent One Year After Murder of US Reporter Who Exposed Western Links to ISIS

ISIL Truth and the Suspicious Death of Journalist Serena Shim: Hypocritical Western Media Remains Silent | Global Research

Authoritarian Rule?

‘Turkey suffering from mass fascism since Gezi protests’

Has Turkey Become a Fascist State? | New Eastern Outlook

Jailed Turkish editor slams EU deal with Erdoğan’s ‘fascist government’ The Guardian

Brutish authoritarianism is being exercised against opponents of the policies of the Turkish Government and corruption whistleblowers. Sibel Edmonds has pointed out that these policies in Turkey are not unique to the current Government and also that Western Intelligence has several hand picked replacements waiting in the wings.

These details do not change the fact that the conduct of the AKP Government has severely damaged Turkey domestically and internationally and the level of tyranny is completely unacceptable in any era.

Ergogan is a demagogue waving the flag of Islam for convenience. Erdogan is an organised crime figure first and foremost and no more a Muslim than the Skull and Bones member with (alleged) large interests in the international drug trade George H.W Bush was a Christian.

Where will it end?

The Civil War has been cynically restarted in Turkey due to anxieties about Kurdish gains in Iraq and Syria, the relationship with Russia has been completely trashed for the same broad reason, out of frustration at the failures of the Syria regime change effort, one almost forgotten fact at this point is that Turkey and Russia were close enough that Turkey agreed to allow Russia to build and operate Turkey’s first nuclear reactor.

Russia halts work in Turkey’s first nuclear power plant after spat – officials | Reuters

Turkey May Owe Russia ‘Hefty Compensation’ if Nuclear Plant Not Constructed

The economic relationship is huge for both states and the path for Erdogan’s departure has been paved by his massive errors on the international stage.

Yesterday Turkey complained that a Russian SU34 fighter jet had entered Turkish airspace. Today video has emerged that is claimed to depict the Turkish military firing artillery from Turkey against Syrian Russian troops in Latakia, where the Turkish backed insurgents are facing complete defeat. It seems absurd that the Turkish military would fight a war with Russia in order to somehow save the failing Syrian regime change operation, but stranger things have happened.

‘Irrefutable proof’: Turkey shells Syrian territory – Russian military

Do yourself a favor.

Truth 1