Iran Signals Implicit Support for Assad Departure.

A poster of Syrian President Bashar al Assad agaisnt the desolation of war torn Syria. Image belongs to Getty Images.
A poster of Syrian President Bashar al Assad against the desolation of war-torn Syria. Image belongs to Getty Images. Joseph Eid took the photo.

April 26th, 2016.

Iran Signals Implicit Support for Assad Departure.

In a break from their long-held position, it appears that Iran is open to a deal that would see the Syrian President Bashar al Assad leave Syria as part of a formula to end the five-year Syrian war with a death toll  now estimated at 400,000.

Syria death toll likely as high as 400,000: UN envoy | Middle East Eye

This information emerged in a Press TV story posted on their you tube channel yesterday.

“Syria president rejected offer for resettlement in Iran”

This story, which must be taken seriously given the source, indicates that Iran is now willing to countenance Assad’s departure, after all, Iran could not have offered Assad refuge if they disagreed with his leaving.

As recently as April 10th senior Iranian spokesmen have stated that there would be no negotiation over the future of the Syrian President.

Syria War Update: Bashar Assad Removal Is ‘Red Line,’ Iranian Official Says

Iran official: Assad removal from Syria a ‘red line’ | The Times of Israel

This position, shared publicly by the Syrian government appears to have been one reason that the Geneva peace talks have never achieved anything so the apparent change in the Iranian position seems to indicate a broadening consensus that it may be in the best interests of Syria for a government of national unity to be formed without the President.

Betrayal?

Elements of the Iranian military and the Iran proxy Hezbollah have been involved in heavy combat in Syria and have taken severe casualties, judging by the funerals.

Many have stated correctly that it should be up to the Syrian people to decide Assad’s fate and many will see the shift in the Iranian position as a sell out and a betrayal, caving in to the demand for regime change after all this time.

Regime Change.

My understanding, is that when the Neoconservative chorus calls for regime change, this is merely a means to an end. The real goal is the destruction of the target state and the call for regime change is a ruse that is used as a vehicle to achieve this more sinister long-term goal.

The point is to demand the impossible and achieve the secondary goal on the back of the initial deliberately unrealistic demand for the leader to pack up and leave because Washington DC said so.

All of the war hype is focused on the “brutal dictator” and the idea that only if this one individual could be removed from power everything would be alright, childish nonsense in its own right but the real goal is the destruction of these states along the lines envisaged soon after 911 by the wonderfully malevolent Neoconservative US  official Paul Wolfowitz.

Before the onslaught in Iraq began in March 2003 the US President delivered an ultimatum to Saddam Hussein and his sons, “Saddam Hussein and his sons must leave Iraq within 48 hours. Their refusal to do so will result in military conflict.”  The US military would be entering Iraq even if Saddam chose to leave but:

“It is not too late for the Iraqi military to act with honor and protect your country by permitting the peaceful entry of coalition forces to eliminate weapons of mass destruction. Our forces will give Iraqi military units clear instructions on actions they can take to avoid being attacked and destroyed. I urge every member of the Iraqi military and intelligence services, if war comes, do not fight for a dying regime that is not worth your own life. “

When the US invaded Iraq the Iraqi military largely followed Bush’s advice and the invasion force was thus met with only limited resistance from loyalist political units while the bulk of the army stood down.

The Iraqi Government fell within weeks of the invasion as a result of this decision yet by May 2003 Paul Bremer, the ranking US civilian official in Iraq decided to disband the Iraqi Army.  This decision, Coalition Provisional Authority order number 2  was the cause of Iraq’s destruction as a nation-state and all the horror that followed until the present day.

So the Neoconservative goal is to destroy Syria entirely, the demand for Assad to leave is simply the impossible demand that masks the deeper goal. The same was true in Libya.

Conclusion.

If Assad’s departure is part of a process of forming a genuine government of national unity and thus ending the war and preserving the state this may be a worthy deal. It seems wrong that the authors of so much misery and destruction should be rewarded for their efforts but the first priority must be the preservation of life and the second the state.  Such is the chaos in Syria and the strength of the extremists of Al Nusra and ISIS that it is likely the insurgency will continue on its bloody way for several years even if there is a political deal and some type of unity government is formed.

The fate of Bashar al Assad is incidental when compared to the suffering and instability caused by the war and if Assad chose to leave his fate would be a far happier one than befell Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi.

Syrian War- Major SAA Victory in Aleppo as Kweires Airbase Siege Lifted.

Syrian Army soldiers celebrate the breaking of the Kweires Airbase siege.
Syrian Army soldiers celebrate the breaking of the Kweires Airbase siege.
The Kweires Military Airbase from Google Earth.
The Kweires Military Airbase from Google Earth.

November 11th, 2015.

The ending of the siege of the Kwieres Air Base.

.Both sides are reporting a major, albeit fragile victory for the Syrian Government forces and allies in the Aleppo countryside, the site of the  largest Syrian offensive conducted since the Russian intervention began.

The Kweires Air base had been surrounded and besieged since 2013, Around 3oo troops remained in what was  an island in an ISIL controlled area. Syrian Government forces have now broken the siege destroying the insurgents  positions surrounding the facility in what appears to be a major achievement.

Qassem Soleimani reportedly photographed with Iraqi Shia militia members in Aleppo, mid October 2015.
Qassem Soleimani reportedly photographed with Shia militia members in Aleppo, mid October 2015.

Iranian media are reporting that the commander of the Revolutionary Guards Quds force Qasem Soleimani .is leading the assault on the ISIl forces in Eastern Aleppo. this is a clear sign that they believe the operation will succeed as the image and prestige of the commander are clearly important to them.

Syrian Army, Hezbollah Lift ISIL’s 2.5-Year-Long Siege of Kuweires Airbase in Aleppo

“Unconfirmed reports said the groundbreaking victory was gained under the leadership of Iran’s renowned Commander Major General Qassem Soleimani.”

This marks possibly the first major achievement since the Russian Iranian escalation of October.

Graphic depicts the situation at kwieres dair base.
Graphic depicts the situation at kwieres dair base.

ISIL siege of Aleppo airbase ‘broken by Syrian forces’

“Army and the armed forces eliminated large numbers of ISIS terrorists and make contact with the forces defending Kweires Airport in Aleppo’s eastern countryside,” the Syrian Arab News Agency (SANA) said on Tuesday.”

Syria: Siege of Kweiris Air Base Broken

Cheetah Forces Lift the Three Year Long Siege of the Kuweires Military Airbase

Syria: Fighting erupts as govt. forces break siege of Kweires airbase *GRAPHIC*]

Tour inside Kweiris Military Airbase with drone footage.

News Report: Syria Army Breaks the 3-Year Siege of Kweires Airbase, Capitalizes on Russian Support

Reporter Shadi Hulwe and Syrian Army soldiers inside Kweiris Military Airbase.

ISIS Besiege Broken: Assad forces regain control of key airbase

In addition to that operation SAA and allied forces have also been achieving gains in South Aleppo.

Until yesterday al Hader was a major jihadist hub in South Aleppo under the control of the al Nusra front.

Syria army takes key rebel town south of Aleppo: military source THE DAILY STAR

Syria: SAA/Hezbollah Operation in Al-Hadher, Aleppo

The Syrian Arab army and Hezbollah full control over the strategic Jabal al-Arbaain (al-Arbaain mountain) and a number of villages and farms in the southwestern countryside of Aleppo province.

SAA offensive in Hama failed.

Several of the Syrian Government offensives undertaken after the Russian air force joined the war, such as the Hama operation, have clearly failed.

Towns that were taken weeks ago have fallen back into the hands of the insurgents, most obviously Morek.

Syria war- ISIS offensive under Hamah, Morek is captured

Morek is not in itself especially crucial but it is a bad sign when gains are not defended and then reversed.

al Nusra massacre in Latakia.

Meanwhile in the Western region oif Latakia, the heartland of the Syrian government support, insurgents have massacred dozens of civilians in mortar strikes.

Al Jazeera described the events.

  “at least 24 civilians were killed and 57 others injured by two rocket shells that landed in residential areas of the coastal city of Latakia, quoting local police.

The observatory put the death toll at 23 civilians, adding that at least 40 others had been injured in the attacks. The rockets landed near Teshreen University.”

Jihadists shell Latakia University, bus stop, killing and wounding dozens of civilians

Syria: Shrapnel-scarred cars line Latakia after 23 killed in shelling

Syria: At least 23 killed, 65 wounded in shelling of Latakia

Jabhat al Nusra and the other jihadists routinely conduct these punitive massacres against civilians in Government areas when they face defeat on the battlefield. It is one of their trademarks.

Syrian Air Force bombard Douma- more than a dozen civilians killed.

Like the rebels. Syrian Government forces frequently bombard positions held by the other side with scant regard for civilian deaths and injuries.

Douma targeted.

“At least 15 people were killed and more than 100 others were injured when government warplanes targeted residential areas in Douma, just outside of the capital Damascus.”

Airstrike cam: Bombs rain down on supposed jihadist hideout in Syria

Syrian‬ intense Airstrike hits terrorists ‪in Darayya‬ (close sight

South Front.

International Military Review – Syria-Iraq Battlespace, Nov. 10, 2015

International Military Review – Syria-Iraq Battlespace, Nov. 11, 2015

International Military Review – Syria-Iraq Battlespace, Nov. 12, 2015

International Military Review – Syria-Iraq Battlespace, Nov. 13, 2015


Iran Unveils Secret Underground Base.

Interior of the cavernous Iranian Undergrounds Ballistic Missile base 500 metres under a mountain.
Interior of the cavernous Iranian Underground Ballistic Missile base 500 metres under a mountain.

October 15th, 2015.

Iran Unveils Secret Underground Bases.

It has been obvious for many years that there was an intention within the War party ro bomb Iran as the ranking member of the House and Senate Armed Services Committee John McCain put it in his “cute adaptation of the Beach Boys classic “Barbara Ann”

Bomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran

So it was always an easy guess that Iran would build military facilities deep within the mountains that dot Iran as protection against even a major Nuclear attack

It seems that the successful nuclear deal and the Russian entrance in Syria have made Iran confident enough to display some of the defensive positions they built to survive an air attack that now seemingly will never eventuate.

13940722000503_PhotoL
IRGC-ASF Commander Brig. Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh “”Those who are happy about their options on the table should just take a look at [Iran’s] options under the table.”
The statement from the revolutionary guard commander in charge of the facility seemed almost to be taunting Israel “do not worry that you never managed to get them to attack us as the attacks had no chance of success.” or as stated  “Those who are happy about their options on the table should just take a look at [Iran’s] options under the table.”
This is some of what the Iranian State media quoted IRGC-ASF Commander Brig. Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh as saying

Underground-basing of IRGC-ASF ballistic missile force | Uskowi on Iran –

“IRGC-ASF Commander Brig. Gen. Amir Ali Hajizadeh permitted what he claimed were first ever imagery to be published of ballistic missile force bases bored into the “heart of a mountain,” stating “Those who are happy about their options on the table should just take a look at [Iran’s] options under the tableOur power and capabilities are like an iceberg that floats above water and whose tip barely shows above the clear water.”

Hajizadeh further claimed numerous such tunnels exist across the country at a depth of 500 metres.

“The Islamic republic’s long-range missile bases are stationed and ready under the high mountains in all the country’s provinces and cities,” he said, according to Sepah News.

The commander said the missiles were ready to be launched from all over Iran, on the order of “the supreme commander-in-chief,” Leader of the Revolution Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

“This is a sample of our massive missile bases,” Hajizadeh said, adding that “a new and advanced generation of long-range liquid and solid fuel missiles” would start to replace the current weapons next year.”

This shot taken from a videocalled entry into Kvrenbaudh appears to show a Russian advisor and two Iranian IRGC members poring over a map f Latakia. The
Iran is now heavily engaged in Iraq and Syria, the Iran Revolutionary guards are in Syria in large numbers and the Iranians are increasingly open about their presence. This shot taken from a video called Entry into Kvrenbaudh (yes I checked) appears to show a Russian adviser and two Iranian IRGC members poring over a map of Latakia. The “Russian” has European features and he is smoking, the Revolutionary Guards are easily recognisable although the younger of the two may be a member of Hezbollah.

Controlled media smells a hoax!?!

It was pretty amusing then to sit through the State Department Press Briefing of October 14 and note that some Fox News “Israeli” journalist named Justin Fishel was seemingly convinced the Iranians had Photoshopped the immense caverns full of mobile ballistic missile launchers that they have put on display as he asked the spokesman whether he had seen the photographs and knew if they were legitimate.

Fox News correspondent and heroic frined of Israel Justib Fishel smeels a hoax and he is one heck of a good judge.
Fox News correspondent and heroic frined of Israel Justin Fishel smells a hoax and he is one heck of a judge.

” I wanted to ask about this Iranian state television broadcast which purports to show an underground tunnel packed with  missiles and missile launchers  a) Do you think  this video is legitimate, and B) in other words real? and B) Do you think that you know,  it’s a provocative (move in) nature? You know they say in the broadcast ” (adopts laughable menacing tone)”this could be used if our enemies make a mistake.”

This shows how utterly rattled the Western elite are at the moment.

They have been listening to their own propaganda for so long they have no idea that the cornerstones of their world view are lies.

Still from Press Tb shows the scale of the facility.
Still from Press Tb shows the scale of the facility.

The World has changed in six months.

The World has changed, the “AIPAC” moment at the helm of the all-powerful US empire is over.

Both elements of the equation have changed.

AIPAC’s veneer of semi invincibility within the US has been destroyed and it has also become crystal clear that the post Cold war “US moment” is over. The world appears to have simply passed them by in a matter of months and outside the bubble of the Western controlled media, their dreams are dying on a daily basis

The moment that reality begins to dawn upon them will be a moment of extreme danger.

Iran Deal-the Monsters Lost. | Crimes of Empire

Iran Nuclear Deal: the Death of the Neoconservative Dream. | Crimes of Empire

Iran Nuclear Deal Completed.

Iran Nuclear Framework Deal : a Geopolitical Earthquake.

the Iran Story.

Iran underground city of it’s ballistic missiles force wide tunnels connected & mobile launchers

Only the tip of the iceberg’: Secret Iran underground base shown to media is just one of many

Raw Footage of Syrian-Russian Military Offensive

The Syrian Army Launch a rocket barrage in Hama at the start of their ground offensive, October 7th, 2015.
The Syrian Army Launch a rocket barrage in Hama at the start of their ground offensive, October 7th, 2015.

October 10th, 2015.

The Syria-Russian Offensive has stumbled at the beginning.

The reality of what is happening in Syria at the moment is buried under a mountain of propaganda

The best analysis that I have read is here.

Syrian SITREP October 10th, 2015 by John Rambo | The Vineyard of the Saker

It seems that the Syrian Army suffered heavy losses from the TOW rockets in Hama.

Syria regime hit by Hama “tank massacre”

The Syrian Arab Army appear to have made some territorial gains with the assistance of intense and massive Russian air support.

The Russian air support, especially from the helicopters, has been heroic, but the overall training and competence of the Syrian Army must be questioned at this point, while it is obviously too early to judge the results of this operation.

Hossein Hamadani the senior Iranian General who died near Aleppo.
Hossein Hamadani the senior Iranian General who died near Aleppo.

IRGC General killed.

A senior figure in the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, Hossein Hamadani has been killed near Aleppo.

Senior Iranian general killed by Islamic State in Syria – Tehran — RT News

ISIL kills top Iranian commander in Syria – Al Jazeera English

The United States, so utterly exposed and humiliated as the deluded terror supporting hypocrite of all time, is crowing over the death but it is not the deaths of specific individuals that determines the outcome of a war.

Hossein Hamadani is not the first senior Iranian military figure to die in the war and presumably will not be the last.

Iran general died in ‘Israeli strike’ in Syrian Golan – BBC News

The West and Cohorts Plot, Sulk and Lie.

I am still struggling to get over the fact that the United States actually has the temerity to suggest that they have the right to send armed militants into a nation to overthrow the Government and if someone kills them in an attempt to assist the legal Government of the nation they are doing some wrong.

The sooner the United States comes to terms with the fact that it is simply another nation state with no entitlement whatsoever to decide the affairs of others, the better for everyone, them included.

There are no credible reports of Russian casualties at this time although that did not stop the increasingly laughable Syrian Observatory for Human Rights from claiming that three Russian helicopters have been downed and destroyed.

If any helicopters come down we can rest assured that there will be pictures. We will see little else for days.

Consortium News provides an excellent insight into the mood and thinking in Washington DC, they describe “official Washington” as being “blind with rage” at the Russian intervention into the Syrian war.

These are some of the videos that have emerged over the past day or so from the battlefields of Syria.

It is actually very sad to watch the rebel footage. When things are going ok, when there is hope and defiance they will all shout “Allahu Akbar” and it can become a little tiresome and repetitive, but I have now noticed that when something really bad happens, when they know that their allies or their buddies are being killed, they stop saying “Allahu akbar” and start saying, well, I guess they are saying ‘”Allah” but it is long and mournful and sounds more like “Yallah.”

This is one small way I have figured out to judge the effectiveness of the military operations. While the jihadists are shouting “Allahu akbar.” things are alright for them or there is at least hope but once they start saying “Allah” instead, This is a sign that they are taking casualties and losing morale.

Syria: Military kill, capture Jabhat al-Nusra militants in Atshan operation

غارات عنيفة من الطيران الحربي تستهدف مواقع ارهابيي جبهة ااالحربي تستهدف مواقع ارهابيي جبهة النصرة داخل
Killed 20 terrorist Al-Nusra Front Hama

Syria: Syrian Army recaptures Atshan village in Hama offensive

سيطرة الجيش العربي السوري على قرية عطشان بريف حماة
Syrian Army in Hama.

Combat cam: Russian aircraft pounds ISIS positions in Latakia, Hama and Idlib

شاهد الان اربعة مروحيات روسيات تمهد للنظام بأقتحام بلدة كفرنبودة

ة

Impressive footage of Russian airstrikes against ISIS / Al-Qaeda in city Kafarnabodah, Hama in Syria

Almassasnh in Hama to destroy the second tank missile Jintao on the front

Moderate beheaders” watching their rival terroristic group getting hammered by Syrian Army

Syria: Battle for Daria rages as Syrian Army pushes forward

Amazing Footage of very low altitude Russian Attack Helicopters targeting ISIS 08/10/2015

Syria: Government forces retake al-Bahsa after ground offensive

Syria: Syrian Army pushes forward in Hama region following Russian airstrikes

GRAPHIC: Deadly trail left by retreating Syrian jihadists in Bahsa village (EXCLUSIVE)

Syria: Corpses fill al-Bahsa after army take town back *GRAPHIC*

Syria: RuAF Providing CAS in Kafr Nabudah, Hama: Part 1

Syria: RuAF Providing CAS in Kafr Nabudah, Hama: Part 2

Syria: RuAF Providing CAS in Kafr Nabudah, Hama: Part 3

Results of the airstike against the ISIS fortified positions in the Aleppo province.

Consequences of an airstrike on a concentration of military hardware.

Results of a strike with a BETAB-500 concrete-piercing air bomb against engineer facilities.

Results of the airstike made by Su-34 bombers against an ISIS command centre in the Raqqah province.

Russian MI-24 Hind Helicopters In Action Over Syria

Syria: Syrian military release Hamah military operation footage

Нанесение авиаударов в провинциях РАККА и АЛЕППО

Iran Deal-the Monsters Lost.

North Tehranis celebrate the framework deal in early April 2015.nuclear deal.
North Tehranis celebrate the framework deal in early April 2015.nuclear deal.

September 3rd, 2015.

It’s Over, the Zionist attempt to vandalise the Iran Nuclear Deal has failed.

The decision by US Senator Barbara Mikulski of Maryland to side with the Iran deal means that US President Obama now has the 34 of the 100 seat Senate on side ending the possibility of the US Senate achieving the two thirds majority required to overturn the Presidential veto of the (expected but now futile) House and Senate vote against the deal.

White House wins enough Senate support for Iran deal | News , World | THE DAILY STAR

The process is that the House and Senate will vote against the deal. The President will veto this and in order to overturn the Presidential veto two thirds in both houses are required.

Two thirds of 100 rounds up to 67 Senators required to overturn the veto. The 34 Senators who have now backed the deal mean that at most the opponents of the deal can achieve 66 Senators which spells the final chapter in an unprecedented defeat for the Zionist lobby in the US and signals the end of a decades long campaign of lies to achieve the violent overthrow of the Iran Government.

The struggle to bomb Iran is now over. The monsters have been defeated, at least on this issue.

I hope it represents the first signs of the reawakening of an independent United States that will never return to the self destructive and evil role as Israel’s brutish and moronic attack dog in the Middle East.

A role the US assumed following the Zionist/Wall Street coup of September 11th, 2001.

Iran Nuclear Deal: the Death of the Neoconservative Dream.

Iranians celebrate the Nuclear deal and the detente with the West.
Iranians celebrate the Nuclear deal and the detente with the West.

July 16th, 2015.

The End of a Dream.

Following the September 11th attacks,  the US conducted several expeditionary wars of choice involving hundreds of thousands of troops who took tens of thousands of casualties in wars that killed millions, cost trillions and produced failed states as the end result.

In 2007 retired US General Wesley Clark provided some background to these events and spoke of a plan to attack seven nations in five years beginning in late 2001.

“General Wesley Clark: The US will attack 7 countries in 5 years

“We had instead a policy coup in this country, a coup, a policy coup. Some hard nosed people took over the direction of American policy and they never bothered to inform the rest of us.”
“Nobody can tell us where to bomb, nobody.” (Donald Rumsfeld as quoted by Wesley Clark.)

Conversation with a member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, November 2001
“Are we still going to attack Iraq?”
“Oh Sir,” he said “it’s worse than that”, he pulled up a piece of paper off his desk and said.
“I just got a memo from the Secretary of Defense that says we are going to attack and destroy the Governments of seven countries in five years! We are going to start with Iraq and then we are going to move to Syria, Lebanon, Libya, Somalia, Sudan and Iran
“These people took control of the policy in the United States.”
“This country was taken over by a group of people with a policy coup. Wolfowitz and Cheney and Rumsfeld and you could name another half a dozen collaborators from the Project for the New American Century. They wanted us to destabilise the Middle East, to turn it upside down, make it under our control”
Retired US General Wesley Clark, 2007.

Of the seven nations on the list  Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and to an extent Syria and Sudan were targeted successfully.* Somalia, the failed state Obama hailed as a success story, was invaded by Ethiopia in 2006 at the behest of the US and is a continuing target of intermittent US drone attacks and special forces raids.

Lebanon and Iran were the other names on the Neocon target list provided by Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld to the Joint Chiefs of Staff in late 2001.

This is far more than a Nuclear deal this is Detente.

The world changed for the better yesterday and  the openly Imperial era of the West in the Middle East appears to be over.

The infantile and aberrant “clash of civilisations” narrative is on life support today,  sustained only by the NATO and Western backed mercenary thugs  the ISIL group and their media promoters.
The dream of the violent overthrow of the Government of Iran by the US is over and there seems to be nothing that Sheldon Adelson, Haim Saban, Netanyahu or any of the other Zionist “monsters of the universe” can do about it.
The false Zionist narrative imposed upon the US in the wake of the attacks of September 11th, 2001 has been discarded. All the lies, the millions of lies that continue to be told in the Zionist owned and controlled Western media, have failed.
The Zionist  project to use the US military as their spearhead to destroy Israel’s  (largely imaginary) enemies in the Middle East is seemingly at an end.

This is not merely a Nuclear deal, this is detente. This is Iran making tremendous, even ridiculous concessions, in order to facilitate a re-entrance to the mainstream international community and especially to restore the relationship between Iran and the West.
It seems inevitable now that full diplomatic relations will resume between Iran and the West, and presumably in the near future. the US will reopen their Tehran Embassy for the first time since the Islamic Revolution. Britain has already announced it’s intention to reopen it’s (more recently closed) Tehran Embassy.

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.

Iran and the Nuclear Crisis.
The entire Iran nuclear crisis was largely a work of fiction. It was never clear that Iran was even attempting to build a Nuclear weapon. According to US intelligence, the Iranian Nuclear weapons project ceased in 2003 and was never anywhere close to producing an actual weapon.
The intelligence that pointed to the program up to 2003 itself appeared to be planted on a laptop that “helpfully” turned up just as the Imperial project looked upon Iran as the next target.
The Iranians never produced Uranium enriched beyond 20%, the enrichment level for weapons grade material is at least 90% with optimum results from 95%+ pure Uranium, so the Iran nuclear program never came close to producing a weapon, but the reasons for the Iranians enriching to that level remain unclear.
The Nuclear crisis almost seems to have been engineered as the tool of detente between Iran and the West although much of the energy behind the crisis was sincere and directed towards military engineered regime change.
Clearly this deal offers tremendous benefits to Iran, in exchange for major concessions but this does not mean that Iran is suddenly going to have things all it’s own way in the Gulf or the broader Middle East.

Obama and iden announce the Nuclear deal with iran, July 14th, 2015.
Obama and iden announce the Nuclear deal with iran, July 14th, 2015.

The United States.
This represents a possible important turning point for US foreign policy in two important respects.

The first is the obvious recourse to a more conciliatory and non-confrontational policy in the Muslim world.On the strategic,  if not tactical level.(bearing in mind the US is currently staging air attacks in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and Yemen!)
The policy of confrontation and occupation in Iraq, Afghanistan and the smaller wars, has been a disaster and an attempt to repeat the Iraq episode in Iran would have seen the end of the US as a great power.

The decision to abandon military confrontation in the Iran case was also achieved in a deal that was brokered by the other current Great powers, China and Russia and this points to a United States that is ready to acknowledge that fact and work within those parameters rather than going down in flames seeking to cling to sole or predominant superpower status as fading empires are prone to doing..
Obama is understood to represent the interests of the “realist” or “Brzezinski” faction in the US and within the CIA.

History will apportion the blame and weigh the consequences of what the Obama administration has done but this deal  represents a small and belated delivery on Obama’s promise to be an anti-war President and means that there is at least something on the positive side of the ledger of the Obama Presidency. Many would argue that this step does not come close to redeeming the Presidency of the “nowhere man.” The Obama Foreign policy legacy remains one of destruction and failure in Libya, Afghanistan, Syria and the Ukraine.

The Israeli Prime Minister during his customary hysterical speech in response to the deal.
The Israeli Prime Minister during his customary hysterical speech in response to the deal.

Israel.
Israel is facing an almost unprecedented diplomatic defeat, the loss of prestige, the psychological blow is tremendous. The paid lackeys in the US Congress and the Western media cannot hide the fact that Israel is now completely isolated from the West in it’s one dimensional confrontational approach towards Iran.

The Western narrative and the Israeli narrative have departed ways.

Iran is no threat to Israel
The material consequences for Israel from this are almost non- existent. Hezbollah will presumably see an infusion of new and better weaponry, but the truth is that Hezbollah remain deeply embroiled in the Syrian Civil War and while the Hezbollah group are more than a match for the Sunni extremists backed by the West and the Gulf monarchies in Syria, Hezbollah will pose no real or significant threat to Israel in the foreseeable future.

Israel’s Solution

If Israel want to pretend they  fear Iran and Hezbollah, the answer is to leave the Occupied West Bank, East Jerusalem and Golan Heights and end the Gaza blockade and the conflict will be over. Hezbollah’s or Iran’s arsenal will be of no relevance to Israel either way.
The real consequence for this will be hat the event is part of a pattern of international isolation that Israel is increasingly encountering. The BBC had the temerity yesterday to name Israel as a Nuclear state. Scrutiny of Israel’s position on this issue , the rank hypocrisy of a Nuclear armed rogue state calling for war will only add further impetus to the movement to Boycott the Apartheid Zionist state.
It is now too late for Israel to act against Iran, and this was never the preferred option anyway.An attack on Lebanon remains an option for Israel as an attempt to violently express their frustration (as the Saudis have been doing in Yemen for almost four months now) or in the hope of forcing the West to  “choose sides’ with Israel against Hezbollah.
This is the most stunning defeat for the Zionist movement since Israel’s inception but the only actual threat to Israel is the increasing international awareness of the nature of the occupation as an apartheid system.

The last King Of Saudi Arabia? King Salman.
The last King Of Saudi Arabia? King Salman.

Saudi Arabia.
Israel characteristically is providing the histrionics but the House of Saud are clearly the primary target of this agreement. Israel has been sidelined, Saudi Arabia were REPLACED.

Iran is clearly going to be the primary power in the Gulf region in the future along side the United States. It seems that a decision has been made to target the House of Saudi for destruction
It is not clear why the decision was made and this is only an intuitive claim but there are small tangible signs that at least certain elements of the CIA are preparing to target the Saudi monarchy and whether that eventuates or not the Saudis have just been cut loose by the United States, pure and simple.

While the Government of Saudi Arabia is a key sponsor of Sunni extremists who have clearly been a key source of international instability. The  removal of the House of Saud would be very risky and likely lead to a three sided Civil war between al Qaeda and the Saudi Government with a side war in the East where the Shia majority in that region will   probably attempt to achieve defacto independence in a similar manner to the Iraqi Kurds.

The Nuclear deal represents a tremendous downgrading of Saudi Arabia as a US ally. Iran and it’s allies now represent a greater concentration of energy resources than the Saudis and their allies.
This was one piece that had to be put into place in order to do away with the House of Saud, who will presumably be replaced by chaos with the Al Nusra front fighting against whatever is left of the hOuse of Saud with a Sectarian Civil war at the same time in the Shia majority oil rich East of Saudi Arabia.

Republican Congressman Ben Sasse, in a just world he would be a streetwalker on the SUnset Boulevard, ibstead he works for Israel.
Republican Congressman Ben Sasse.

The Memes.

State Sponsor of Terror and Sectarianism.

None of the groups that Iran supports in the Middle East conduct or have recently conducted mass casualty attacks on civilian targets.

The Ansurallah group fighting in Yemen are a fairly standard militia, they do not attack civilian targets deliberately in Yemen nor during their many incursions into Saudi Arabian border areas in recent weeks.

The Ansarallah Houthi group does not follow orders from Iran anyway as it recently came to light that iran had advised the Ansarallah group not to attempt to take the capital city Sa’ana by force. The Ansarallah group did the exact opposite and attacked the capital .

Hezbollah are currently fighting the al Nusra Front and IS remnants in Western Syria. During their years long involvement in Syria Hezbollah have been fighting a grinding conventional war against the enemies of the West IS and al Nusra Front. None of these operations bear any relationship to terrorism it is regular warfare.

The Iraqi Shia militia groups on the other hand have been responsible for very serious persecution of Sunni Iraqis and did conduct what amounted to “sectarian cleansing” operations in Baghdad that saw Sunni neighborhoods disappear and mixed areas become Shia dominated. There are many issues with the Iraqi Shia militia groups but there is no indication that any of these actions are being undertaken with Iranian instructions or anything approaching it.

If the recent history of the Middle East is examined honestly it is clear that the rise of Iranian proxies has been as a result of Iran successfully capitalising on primarily Western acts of aggression in the region.

In 1982 Hezbollah did not exist, the group formed in response to the needless Israeli invasion of 1982 that saw tens of thousands of Lebanese civilians slaughtered in months of carpet bombing from the Israeli Air Force.

The Israeli occupation of Lebanon lasted until the year 2000, Hezbollah were the most dedicated and successful group that opposed the Israeli occupation and Hezbollah’s prestige and power spring from their response to Israeli aggression in Lebanon. It was not Iran who started the war.

The same type of thing happened in Iraq. Iran’s allies came to power in Iraq because Iran has a Shia majority and the US toppled Saddam Hussein’s secular government in an illegal war of aggression. The ascent of Iran in Iraq was completely due to the actions of the US and Iran simply capitalised on the fact that the imposition of Democracy on Iraq made it absolutely certain that a pro Iran party or parties would be in power because ALL the major Shia factions in Iraq have a close relationship with Iran.

Iran’s comparitive rise to power in the region traces back to these two seminal acts of Western agression in Lebanon and Iraq so the portrait of Iran as a destabilising force is pretty unfair and dishonest.

The state sponsor of terrorism accusation is pure nonsense.

Nuclear Threshold State.

The Western media have struggled to manage their dual  loyalties to Israel and the US, often dealing with the contradiction by both gushing and fretting in the same report. When Israel’s interests are at stake the facts can never be allowed to get int the way and nonsense such as this from the Mail Online is the result.

Critics warn Arab rivals will not ‘sit idly by’ after Iran’s atomic accord | Daily Mail Online

“Yesterday’s announcement was met with a profound wariness in the Arab world, where there are fears of Tehran gaining a nuclear weapon and deep skepticism that the accord will prevent that from happening. Critics of the U. S-led negotiations warned that the other nations in the Middle East will ‘not sit idly by’ while Iran develops its nuclear capabilities. Republican Senator Ben Sasse said: ‘Sadly, the Administration just lit the fuse for a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.”

The Mail alludes to the “profound wariness” of the Arab world without citing any source and then turns to a Zionist US Republican Senator to voice the views that were previously attributed to the “Arab world.”
The premise that Iran is trying to build a Nuclear weapon is itself a ridiculous and hackneyed trope with little basis in reality.
‘We all know Iran’s neighbours will not sit idly as the world’s largest state-sponsor of terror becomes a nuclear-threshold state.’” US Republican Ben Sasse.

The dishonesty in the statement from the notorious lobby mouthpiece Sasse is very plain. The description of Iran becoming a nuclear threshold state is not anchored in reality. It is psychotic.

Iran is agreeing to give up two thirds of it’s centrifuges, 98% of all fissile material and to reduce the maximum level of Uranium enrichment from 20% to 3.67% so Sasse is simply ignorant or a total liar, or both.

Nuclear Agreement Text.

271547537-Joint-Comprehensive-Plan-of-Action.pdf

A Path Forward.
There are undoubtedly many cynical and self interested motives behind this agreement and much cause for wariness but the methods of conflict resolution that have succeeded in this case could  be used to solve all human conflict (in theory at least) if the will was there to do so .The events of the post 911 era have proven yet again just how ineffective high explosives are in achieving positive political outcomes. War is a broken formula..

If the US can achieve detente with Iran, facilitated by Russia, how absurd is the new Cold War? It is completely ridiculous. The entire posture from the West towards Russia has been completely  counterproductive since the end of the Cold War.

There is no rational basis for Russia and the United States to be enemies, any more than there was for the US and Iran, but Russia and the US have many more common interests even than Iran and the US. There is blame on all sides in the Ukraine but the West needs to accept that the multipolarity of power is now a fact and is not a threat to the West, only to the delusional world domination project. The West should help implement the Minsk accords, accept the annexation of Crimea as a consequence of the Maidan coup and abandon the anti-Russian sanctions that have caused unnecessary economic harm to both Russia and Europe to the benefit of none.

Iran & IAEA still to resolve ‘outstanding issues’ despite deal

The Plan — according to U.S. General Wesley Clark (Ret.)

Israeli Nuclear Attack on Syria, All Known Footage

.*Sudan was partitioned in 2011. The new South Sudan state descended within months into a brutal Civil war that continues to this day. There are two Governing Authorities within the South Sudan, a catastrophically failed state from day one.

Iran Nuclear Deal Completed.

The Hotel is apprently located at i Theodore Herzl place.
The Hotel is apprently located at i Theodore Herzl place.

July 14th, 2015.

It is being reported that a Nuclear deal has been agreed and will be announced  within the next several hours.. These are the first reported reactions from Iran and Israel as reported in the Beirut Daily Star.who are now reporting that the deal has been made.

Iran, world powers clinch landmark nuclear deal | News , World | THE DAILY STAR

“All the hard work has paid off and we sealed a deal. God bless our people,” one Iranian diplomat told Reuters on condition of anonymity.

But hostility to the agreement from Washington’s closest ally in the Middle East was immediate.

“This deal is a historic surrender by the West to the axis of evil headed by Iran,” Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Tzipi Hotovely said in a message on Twitter. “Israel will act with all means to try and stop the agreement being ratified.”

It was amusing to note that the hotel where the negotiations are taking place is located on a street named after one of the founders of the Zionist movement, Theodore Herzl.

North Tehranis celebrate the framework deal in early April 2015.nuclear deal.
Iranians celebrate the framework deal in early April 2015.

It is being claimed that a compromise was reached whereby Iran would retain the ability to refuse inspections of military sits and the matters would be heard on a case by case basis by an International Arbitration process, indicating that the issue was a major sticking point.

This is the Guardian version of the amended weapons embargo.

“I can confirm that the conventional arms embargo will last another 5 years, and restrictions on ballistic missile technology will last 8 years.’

Under a complicated arrangement a violation could lead to the automatic “snap-back” of sanctions within 65 days, if a dispute resolution process failed.”

Earlier the President of Iran Hassan Rouhani made a premature and speediy amended Tweet announcing the deal.  “#IranDeal is the victory of diplomacy & mutual respect over the outdated paradigm of exclusion & coercion. And this is a good beginning.”

This report is from AP.

Western diplomat: Formal nuclear deal reached with Iran | News , World | THE DAILY STAR

“VIENNA: A senior Western diplomat says a landmark Iran nuclear agreement was reached Tuesday after clearing final obstacles. The diplomat says it includes a compromise between Washington and Tehran that would allow U.N. inspectors to press for visits to Iranian military sites as part of their monitoring duties.
But access at will to any site would not necessarily be granted and even if so, could be delayed, a condition that critics of the deal are sure to seize on as possibly giving Tehran time to cover any sign of non-compliance with its commitments.”
“Under the deal, Tehran would have the right to challenge the U.N request and an arbitration board composed of Iran and the six world powers that negotiated with it would have to decide on the issue.”
‘Still, such an arrangement would be a notable departure from assertions by top Iranian officials that their country would never allow the U.N’s International Atomic Energy Agency into such sites. Iran has argued that such visits by the IAEA would be a cover for spying on its military secrets.”
“On Tuesday morning, the European Union announced that the final plenary of Iran and the six countries negotiating with it will take place at 10:30 Vienna time, followed by a news conference.
Contacted shortly before daybreak, the diplomat said final drafting of the deal was still going on. But another diplomat said that the deal was tentatively set to be announced in the afternoon Vienna time. Both demanded anonymity because they are not authorized to discuss the confidential negotiations.”

Text of the Nuclear deal.

271547537-Joint-Comprehensive-Plan-of-Action.pdf

Thousands in Tehran celebrate nuclear deal

Netanyahu, US Republicans trash Iran deal – ‘its war on Israel’


Iran deal was fight for every preposition, victory for diplomacy’ – Escobar

Key points of historic Iran nuclear deal

DEAL! ‘Good’ nuclear deal with Iran reached

Nuclear deal reached – Iranian FM Zarif & EU foreign policy chief Mogherini news conf

Iran nuclear deal likely within hours | News , Middle East | THE DAILY STAR

Iran Nuclear Deal : a Geopolitical Earthquake

the Iran Story