Sadly it appears that the Donbass War is restarting. That the Ukraine Government was simply trying to buy time, lick their wounds and plead for more money from their Western sponsors.
The Clashes are now persistent and intensifying and the Novorussian forces are now apparently conducting their own offensive guerrilla operations in response to the Ukraine Forces constant provocations. as this Kazzura video seems to indicate.
[eng subs] Recon by fire mission in Shirokino. 14/03/15, combat footage by “Khrustalik”
The best thing obviously would be for the war to end and never restart and for the Novorussians and the Ukraine Government to come to an amicable and political long term solution.
Some Western commentators opine that Russia has invaded East Ukraine and is trying to seize the Donbass region and that is simply not the case. Russia has no intent whatsoever to allow the Donbass to formally break from the Ukraine. Russia’s goal is simple, they want the Ukraine not to join NATO, the Novorussian forces and the people of the Donbass are essentially Russia’s willing and able counterweight to the Kiev Western puppets.
Russia has clearly provided material to the Novorussian forces but it has actually been very little.
The Official Russian Military budget is over $40 billion a year whereas the Ukraine Military budget is less than two. The nation is going broke and the support from the West has almost all been rhetorical.
NATO do not want to fight a war against Russia. Bullying thugs will never ever assail an enemy with real claws, ever. The whole fabricated “Russia” threat is just a fund raising exercise and relevance renewal for NATO. It is a scam. Russia is going to get a “colour revolution” whether they like it or not. There is no other way.
NATO has nowhere near the size nor quality of forces to even dream of launching actual offensive operations against Russian territory and the same is vice versa. It is a non-starter with devastating, unbearable losses on both sides inevitable.
Presumably this will play out in much the same way as the past two cease fires. The fighting will become more open, the Novorussians will win a small but significant territorial gain. The French and Germans will again plead with Poroshenko to stop and at some point he will presumably listen.
What they need to understand is that they are not going to achieve anything because Russia can turn up the support to the Novorussian ten or even one hundred times what the support is today. They are providing the bare minimum and are capable of boosting the support to whatever level required to hold the strongholds of Luhansk and Donetsk, no matter how much support from the West the Ukraine receives .
NATO, perhaps due to the level of corruption in Kiev, has actually pledged very little financial military support to the Ukraine forces who will remain out-thought and out gunned, no matter what NATO does and should therefore stop the nonsense, accept their losses and try and get on with rebuilding the Ukrainian state and the economy.
eng subs] OSCE motorcade got under fire in Shirokino
The Russian President has reappeared. He seems to have had influenza or a bad cold.
Russia: Putin speaks out against media rumour mill
The President of the Russian federation has cancelled two scheduled meetings including one scheduled for March 12th with the leader of Kazakhstan. This has led to rumours that Putin is dead. Without knowing I will assume the rumours are simply untrue. It was very interesting that this story was being disseminated by Debkafile, a well known Israeli intelligence front.
Perhaps there is some foundation to the rumours or perhaps certain parties are trying to “flush him out” for some reason. Cause him to make a public appearance. It was bizarre to watch the British Defence Secretary Hammond interviewed by a journalist who suggested that the British Government should release details of Putin and associates finances. A suggestion the Defence Secretary responded to with enthusiasm. This came after a speech during which the Defence Secretary bizarrely tried to cast the Russian federation as “perhaps the greatest threat to the Security of the UK in the world.” To which I would ask what on earth is he talking about? By what magical equation do the Russian military pose the slightest threat to the UK?
The only circumstances in which Russia could ever pose a threat to the UK would be as part of a major nuclear war. Russia is not going to begin a nuclear war against the West guaranteed to lead to the complete destruction of Russia so therefore unless you are planning to start a nuclear war, Russia poses no threat to the UK whatsoever.
As far as the finances go, what a joke to hear a journalist pleading with the Government to do his job for him. If you think they should be published pal, publish them.
The whole financial dirt threat is hilarious because once you start on this road, it will be a two way street with a lot of dirt and graft to go around on both sides I am sure. I hope it happens. Perhaps the British government believes it’s connections to filth are so well known and documented that fresh revelations will do no further damage?
Britain May Broadcast Putin’s Financial Secrets to Russian People
Astonishing Odessa Survivor Account.
[eng subs] Interview with Odessa massacre survivor, recently released from UA prison
The way the audio has been altered to protect the anonymity is a little off-putting, but this witness account of the Odessa massacre in May 2014 certainly rings true and fits the known facts. The police stood by and watched as protesters were murdered by fascist thugs.
Clashes in Shirokino are daily but small scale. The telling detail I picked up from the video was that according to the Novorussian military forces, the forces opposing them of the Azov battalion have recently been rotated. A fresh group of troops is attacking them apparently and if the Kiev government and their Western backers still have not understood then they will receive the same message again. The message of Ilovaisk and Debaltsevo . The message they received at the Donetsk International Airport and the message is obvious.
Since the end of the Cold war, thirteen former Eastern bloc states have joined NATO despite Western pledges not to encroach on the territory Russia voluntarily and peacefully vacated. Russia has decided that there will not be a fourteenth new NATO member, at least not the Ukraine and Russia is willing to go to the wall to prevent the Ukraine joining NATO. Are the Western leadership so obsessed with total world domination that they are willing to engage in war with Russia in order to get the Ukraine into NATO?
If so why? Given that it makes no difference at all to the life of Westerners whether the Ukraine is in NATO or not it seems completely absurd.