The legendary Commander of the Somali (armoured) Battalion of the Donbass Militia forces Mikhail Tolstykh, known as Givi has been killed in an early morning attack on his office in the military headquarters of the DPR militia in Makiyivka near Donetsk.
There are differing accounts of the attack, with claims that a bomb was placed in or near Givi’s office but other claims that there was an attack by an incendiary rocket system named the RPO-A Shmel.
A Devastating Blow.
The loss of Givi is a monumental, truly devastating blow against the Donbass militias and follows the recent assassination of the Luhansk militia commander Oleg Anashchenko, killed by a roadside bomb attack on his vehicle on February 4th (Source) and the October assassination of Motorola an attack that resembles the killing iof Givi in many respects.
There has been a recent intensification of military attacks on the self-proclaimed Donbass Republics by the Ukraine military and their allies focused on the town of Avdiivka that left dozens of soldiers and civilians dead on both sides of the contact line. (Source)
The renewed Ukrainian assaults are widely perceived as an attempt to provoke Russia to become overtly involved in the Eastern Ukraine war and then use this involvement to curtail all attempts at rapprochement between Russia and the US, an oft stated aim of the new US President that potentially threatens the flow of money and weapons that are keeping the Ukraine military afloat.
Putin: Ukraine is extorting cash through war
Who was Mikhail Tolstykh?
The details of Givi’s life are that he was born in 1980 in the Ukraine, he was from the eastern town of Ilovaisk, he spent some time in the Ukraine military prior to the Donbass war.
The nickname is used in Russia to refer to people of Georgian background, Givi was not from Georgia nor had even been there, but his great-grandfather was an ethnic Georgian.
Givi came to prominence initially due to his ostentatious display of courage caught on film in late 2014 when he remained nonchalant as a barrage of rockets was landing in his close vicinity.
It is hilarious to watch him simply ignore the threat to life and limb, calmly chatting as his fellow soldiers run for cover.
Givi and MLRS “Grad” shell strike.
Givi played a significant role in many successful military operations including the Battle Of Ilovaisk and the Second Battle of Donetsk Airport when he earned a degree of infamy after aggressively confronting captured Ukrainian soldiers and cutting their badges from their uniforms and forcing the captives to “eat” them.
[eng subs] Givi & Motorola talk to captive UAF colonel
Givi had been subjected to previous attempts on his life, but these earlier attempts were very amateurish, little more than drive by shootings in stark contrast to the highly professional killings of recent times.
Givi was the classic inspirational field commander, the fact that he was a native of the Donbass region makes his death an exceptionally heavy blow, even when compared to the Motorola killing. When they killed Motorola I thought, it could be worse, it could be Givi, and now they got him.
The short simple answer is that the Ukraine Government and military and their supporters benefit greatly from this event. There is no point speculating at this early stage as to the identity of the perpetrators, however it seems to me that the commitment and ability of the Ukraine Government and their Western backers has been widely underestimated.
There are people in Western Intelligence who are good at their jobs, they know how to compromise people, how to turn people and force them to collaborate in operations and it seems that the underestimation of these agencies and an overestimation of the support the militia have within the Donbass has left the door open for the Ukrainians and their allies to enlist people on the ground in Donetsk to help them carry out these operations.
The Ukraine Government signed onto the Minsk accord in early 2015 and in the succeeding two years have refused to attempt to implement the deal point-blank. The heads of the self-proclaimed Republics offered to meet and negotiate with the Ukraine Government and this offer was flatly refused.
Over the two years of low intensity warfare that followed the signing of the second Minsk accord, the Ukraine has been on the offensive, seizing a number of settlements from the Donbass militia forces whole their Western sponsors continue to pretend that the Donbass militia are responsible for this situation.
Until the leaders of the Western nations supporting the Ukraine take a more honest approach and consequences are imposed on the Ukrainians for their mendacity, the senseless killing will continue indefinitely.
URGENTLY! The first images from the place of death of Givi
On October 16th, legendary Donbass militia commander Motorola (born Arsen Pavlov) was killed by an explosion in Donetsk. A device was hidden in the elevator of the building in which Motorola lived with his wife and child, and detonated as Motorola returned home, killing both he and his bodyguard.
He had survived at least two previous assassination attempts, the most recent being an apparent botched bomb plot in August.
Motorola’s life before the Donbass war is low on detail. He was born in 1983 and raised in Rostov, western Russia, he was a Marine in the Russian military, fought in the second Chechnya war early 2000s before coming to prominence during the Donbass war.
Motorola was a leader of the pro-Russian militia groups that have been fighting the Ukraine government forces since 2014 when a Western engineered colour revolution swept the elected Ukraine government from power and replaced them with ultra-nationalists and IMF flunkies.
Motorola was the commander of the Sparta battalion, who operate as a semi-special forces grouping within the DPR militia, he was involved in many of the most significant battles fought by the militia, playing a key role in the successful Second Battle for Donetsk Airport among many others.
Motorola engaged in numerous noteworthy acts of courage, exposing himself to close range tank fire, and generally leading from the very front of the front, giving his men confidence by the sheer force of his will and personality.
As a professionally trained soldier, Motorola was not only a fighter, he also operated training camps for less experienced fighters where they were taught infantry tactics.
Who Murdered Motorola?
The sad truth is that such is the state of Governance in the Donbass republics that there may never be any real investigation into this murder.
The attacker managed to sneak into the lift, plant the device, which could be done in ten seconds, and then monitor the traffic into the lift in order to press the button at the correct moment.
My initial assumption that the Ukraine and their allies must have murdered Motorola did not survive the reading of a typically thoughtful analysis from the Saker.
Having had a rethink, this is the picture that has emerged of the potential suspects.
The operation is widely regarded as being beyond the level of professionalism of the Ukraine security services, and while it remains possible that they were behind this it seems at the less likely end of the hypotheses on offer.
At face value it also seems highly unlikely that the operation would be directed by a Western agency as the death of Motorola does not change the overall situation to the benefit of the West to the degree worthy of the risk or resources the operation required.
The idea that Russia was involved can also be all but discounted. Motorola was an employee of Russia, if Russia thought he was dong a bad job, they would simply send him home. They had no motivation to waste time sneaking around planting bombs, he was their man, he obeyed orders, whatever they wanted to do to him, they would simply summon him.
The details of the attack mean it was either a very high-tech operation or it was done by someone very close to home. In recent years, almost all the major military and political and military leaders of the Donbass republics have been targeted for assassination, including the two putative heads of state in the respective republics, Alexander Zakharchenko of Donetsk and Igor Plotnitsky of Luhansk.
Infighting is part of the story and the Motorola killing fits into a broader pattern of events in the self-declared republics, with a partial breakdown of law and order and the absence of a real system of justice.
The best explanation for Motorola’s death, without having access to hard facts, would be some type of inside attack directed from within as part of some rivalry or betrayal.
The loss of Motorola is an immense psychological and symbolic blow to the beleaguered self-declared republics but it will not change the fundamentals of the situation in east Ukraine.
In the eastern Ukraine, Russia created a military and political force able to veto any attempt to include the Ukraine in NATO ans once that goal was achieved the Russian priority changed to mending political ties with Europe, hoping to end the EU sanctions.
The New Cold War.
In order to understand why this war is happening, we must look back at the post Cold war period.
At the end of the Cold War, the Soviet Union unilaterally dismantled itself, ended the European empire built on the back of the victory over the Nazi’s, abandoned communism and ended the reason for NATO’s existence, the Warsaw pact alliance grouping.
Rather than engage in a constructive reconciliation process, the West simply viewed Russia as a weakened enemy, to be exploited and attacked.
This was inexplicable because the official reasons for the conflict between the West and Russia, communism and the Soviet empire, were gone.
At the behest of Neo-liberal ideologues the assets of the Russian state were sold off at a tiny fraction of their value and later, foreign jihadists were inserted into Chechnya in order to start the Chechen war in the 1990s.
Key leaders of the Chechen insurgency were trained at the same training camps the CIA and the Pakistani ISI had earlier trained the Afghan mujaheddin.
As Michel Chossudovsky writes “the Pakistani Inter Services Intelligence arranged for Basayev and his trusted lieutenants (Khattab included) to undergo intensive Islamic indoctrination and training in guerrilla warfare in the Khost province of Afghanistan at Amir Muawia camp, set up in the early 1980s by the CIA and ISI and run by famous Afghani warlord Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. In July 1994, upon graduating from Amir Muawia, Basayev was transferred to Markaz-i-Dawar camp in Pakistan to undergo training in advanced guerrilla tactics. In Pakistan, Basayev met the highest ranking Pakistani military and intelligence officers: Minister of Defense General Aftab Shahban Mirani, Minister of Interior General Naserullah Babar, and the head of the ISI branch in charge of supporting Islamic causes, General Javed Ashraf,” (Source)
Basayev, along with Saudi jihadist Ibn Khattab, led insurgent attacks on the provinces bordering Chechnya in 1998, attacking both Dagestan and Ingushetia, a ridiculous provocation designed to end the relatively peaceful informal independence of Chechnya.
On the external front, a dozen former Warsaw pact nations were included in an eastward expanding NATO, breaking numerous assurances made to Russia at the time of the German reintegration.
The broken deal is a secondary issue, the elephant in the room is why does NATO even existpost Warsaw pact? And if the purpose of the expansion was not to encircle Russia then what was it?
The leadership of the West continued the Cold War unilaterally and for a very long time they met very little resistance, (the 2008 war against Georgia being a major exception) until they staged the colour revolution in Ukraine at the start of 2014.
The Ukraine had an elected government, all the politicians on all sides were corrupt. Protests against the government began after the President chose not to pursue closer economic ties with Europe. After several months the protests grew extremely violent and caused an equally violent response from the security forces.
At this point, Russia made a compromise deal for the President to stand aside and hold early elections but the West continued with the putsch and in late February during the latter stages of the Sochi Winter Olympics the coup succeeded and the President of the Ukraine fled. This was the breaking point for Russia.
Russia could not risk losing the Sevastopol naval base to a hostile NATO takeover of the Ukraine, sOnce the Olympics were finished, Russia took dramatic action, a co-ordinated military political operation saw the Ukraine military evicted from the Crimea with very little violence and soon after that the people of Crimea voted to secede from Ukraine and to join the Russian Federation.
Russia was able to achieve these things at very little cost and the reason for this was despite the fact that the Russian actions were driven by the need to retain Sevastopol, the people of Crimea were genuinely horrified by the coup government, largely regarded themselves as Russians all along and were relieved to leave a dysfunctional in the best of times Ukraine.
The operation was a huge success and Crimea is well in the process of being integrated into Russia, the operation succeeded because the goals of the Russia government broadly matched the goals of the people of Crimea.
It was one of the most stunning events in recent history, the West was powerless to act and the subject is so painful that it still reduces the minions of the West to quivering rage whenever it is raised.
The core support for the deposed president Viktor Yanukovych was in the east of the Ukraine and the coup government decision to banish Russian as a language of the Ukraine, along with the ultra-nationalist elements in the government saw a rebellion begin in the east in the months following the coup.
By the middle of 2014, militia groups had formed in the eastern regions, the Ukraine armed forces tried to enter the east and evict these groups from their positions and a war broke out between them for control of east Ukraine.
At some point Russia decided to lend military and logistical support to the insurgents and by August 2014 the militia were bolstered by the presence of covertly inserted Russian soldiers, the Ukraine attempts to seize the eastern areas largely failed and following a terrible defeat for the Ukraine forces in the Battle of Ilovaisk the first Minsk agreement was signed in early September 2014.
The Donbass war in many ways resembles the West’s “dirty war” operations all over the world, from Syria to El Salvador and Guatemala, the core tactic is the same, an enemy is attacked using cut-outs in a proxy war.
Following Minsk the people of the Donbass are trapped in a netherworld with no prospect of escape. The Ukraine state regards them as foreigners, enemies, people to be shelled as punishment for their disloyalty.
The Donbass militias are also trapped, they cannot win the war, they cannot lose the war, instead they must simply fight to keep their pocket of territory and remain the Russian bargaining chip in the Ukraine.
The people were given false hope that Russia would either help them achieve independence or absorb them as it had Crimea. Neither option was ever part of the plan so the war, despite the tactical victories and the courage and skill of the fighters, was a trick played on the participants.
The Donbass militias and the people are a pawn that are there to be able to give Russia the ability to veto any attempt to include the Ukraine in NATO as well as act as an armed buffer on Russia’s western border.
That is why they can never be allowed to lose, that is why they are not supposed to win independence or to join Russia, and that is why while the Russia actions in Crimea can be seen to have improved the lives of the Crimeans the same cannot be said of the Donbass.
What Russia has done to these people, whilst being perfectly rational and probably in the Russian interest, was low and cynical in many ways.
For the Ukraine state, the Donbass war has been an immense disaster and humiliation. Once the border posts between east Ukraine and Russia fell, the war was effectively over with no possibility of a victory as Russia now had the ability to provide sufficient assistance at any time in order to protect the Donbass pocket.
The Minsk 2 agreement, reached in February 2015, is the concrete representation fo Russia’s decision to walk away from the Donbass war. The agreement is highly favorable to the Ukrainian side, including for example the condition that the Donbass militia groups go into exile upon disbandment.
This commentary from Mikhail Belyayev provides a good summary of the one sided nature of the deal that Russia forced upon the Donbass republics.
“The publicized text of the ceasefire agreement that was signed in Minsk is what this very real betrayal looks like. The betrayal of everything that the Novorossiya Militiamen fought and died for. The betrayal of Novorossiya itself, because, based on the text of this agreement, there is no place envisioned for Novorossiya, nor for the Militia and nor even for any “special status” for the People’s Republics.
All that this so-called ceasefire agreement provides for is a temporary status of local self-government in certain areas of the Donetsk and the Lugansk regions. Even that is conditional on the complete elimination of the Militia and the release of all Ukrainian prisoners of war; moreover, the Militiamen are obliged not only to lay down arms, but also to leave the territory of Ukraine. In return, Ukraine promises amnesty to the parties to the conflict, a national dialogue, and certain measures aimed at improving the humanitarian situation in the Donbass. The LPR and the DPR are not even mentioned in the text of the agreement, and their representatives have signed it without any titles or ranks.
Independence and statehood? Novorossiya? A temporary special status in certain areas of the Donetsk and the Lugansk regions—here is all you have of independent Novorossiya. Here is all your freedom and sovereignty. You can write out these words a thousand times, print them on paper, and then shove them deep down your throat. In any event, death by strangulation is better than death through shame. Ukraine does not even intend to give autonomy to the People’s Republics. She did not even deign to mention these very Republics in the agreement. Temporary self-government in certain areas—that is the extent of Ukrainian generosity for the rebellious Donbass.
The Militiamen? According to this agreement they are now exiles and must leave the Donbass. Forever. Yes, the merciful Ukrainian side undertakes to pardon and not to criminally prosecute them. But only after they lay down arms and remove themselves from the territory of Ukraine. After all, according the agreement, all the unlawful military formations (meaning the Militia) must immediately be withdrawn beyond the boundaries of Ukraine.”
The commentary finishes with an unanswered question “it remains a mystery as to how the representatives of Novorossiya could have signed this masterpiece of Ukrainian arrogance and conceit.”
The answer is obvious: Russia told them to sign it and they completely depend on Russia for their existence so had no choice but to sign.
In the 20 or so months since the Minsk 2 agreement was made, a low intensity wear has continued, the Ukraine have the upper hand but the achievements are slight. Meanwhile, Russia is only providing the absolute bare minimum of military assistance to the militia groups.
It has been a very disappointing time for the people of the Donbass as it sinks in that Russia will never accept the eastern republics into Russia, nor will the Ukrainians implement the Minsk agreement.
The Ukraine may well be continuing the war at this time simply in order to maintain the flow of US military assistance. Given the immense corruption of the Ukraine government and the futility of what they are doing, this may be the best explanation for their actions.
The ongoing fighting only deepens the psychological chasm between the people of the Donbass and the Ukraine state.
If the Ukraine wants to retain the Donbass in any meaningful sense the Ukraine must take steps to implement Minsk, and begin the slow process of the physical and political reintegration.
Over the long-term, the West is undoubtedly the chief party in the creation of the Ukraine disaster. Treating Russia as an enemy for a quarter of a century at the end of the Cold war was an act of madness, albeit one that is now paying off as Russia’s responses to Western aggression enable the NATO parasites to resuscitate their original raison d’etre- the threat of Russia!
NATO and all the other US instruments deserve execration but the cynicism of Russia’s action regarding the eastern Ukraine cannot be overlooked. It would do well for the Syrian Government and their allies to understand that Russia is not anyone’s benefactor, it acts in the Russian interest and in the Russian interest alone.
Russia is equally capable of walking away from Syria when it is no longer in their interest and Syria and their allies should always have contingency plans that consider this possibility.
For the people of the Donbass the world might as well have frozen over, they are trapped between the geopolitical aims of the West and Russia, their lives are of apparent little concern to either party and the future is bleak.
For as long as the Second Cold war persists they will be trapped, sandwiched between the competing geopolitical goals of Russia and the West.
[eng subs] Motorola guides a tour through “Sparta’s” museum[eng subs]
[eng subs] “Main fight of the Republic: 300 Steel riflemen” by Gennadiy Dubovov
18+ Donetsk Airport: Guided Tour with Motorola (English Subtitles) 18+ Donetsk Airport: Guided Tour with Motorola (English Subtitles)
“You will pay in blood for Motorola” – Givi
Assassination of Motorola: the last straw? Chilling message
The situation appears to be that the people of the Donbass region are trapped within the reality that Russia has achieved it’s goals and is seeking to move on from the Ukraine crisis whilst the Ukraine Government and their Western backers remain enraged by the many humiliations the Russian President has inflicted upon them over the past several years and are not willing to let the war come to an end.
The lives and interests of the people of the Donbass are clearly of secondary interest to all external parties to the conflict.
Dejan Beric interview on situation in DPR
The best recent explanation for what is currently happening is contained in this short video made by a Novorussian Serbian volunteer named Dejan Beric
The Minsk II agreement is being broken, the ceasefire never really happened, and at least two hundred deaths have occurred since the Minsk II agreement came into place, but intense fighting is largely confined to two small areas, the villages of Marinka and Shirokino that are partially held by both sides and the combatants are very close, within only hundreds of metres of each other.
Dejan Beric explains that shelling is taking place right across the contact line but the intense fighting is largely confined to these areas.
Ukraine: “Heavy weapons spotted in gov-controlled areas”- OSCE chief
Even the OCSE sleepwalkers recently noticed that the Ukraine military have violated the Minsk accords by returning their heavy weaponry to the front lines and using it with frequent civilian deaths . Deputy Chief of the OCSE team Alexander Hug had a curious choice of words to describe the situation.
“This build up of heavy weapons along the contact lines also leads to more destruction deaths and injuries to the civilian population.”
It is strange choice of words because it refers to the “build up” of Weapons as being the cause of the damage rather than their use.
When the large scale fighting ended in February the forces of Novorussia were achieving significant gains and causing severe losses to the Ukraine military. In the post Minsk 2 fighting the Ukraine military appear to have the initiative, previously secure positions of the DPR such as Donetsk Airport have come under renewed attack in recent weeks.
This sad video made by a German member of the Vostok battalion called “Niemets” alludes to a lack of training as the cause for the “results that have been seen.” as the soldier pleads for better training from the leadership of the Donetsk People’s Republic.
The Dawning of a Bitter Reality.
It seems to be slowly sinking in that the gains the Novorussian rebels made were highly dependent on the support of the Russian Federation and the RF has achieved all it needs in Eastern Ukraine, the RF now has the ability to prevent the Ukraine from joining NATO by either military or political means.
This appears to have been the goal of the Russian federation all along as indicated by their actions and so all the talk about the “new Hitler’ Putin “threatening Europe” with aggression was simply the typically “broad” and infantile Western propaganda nonsense heard on almost every issue from the controlled media.
[eng subs] Putin’s childhood friend, now living in Gorlovka: “RF has betrayed us, UA leave us alone”
The Opinion of Putin’s Childhood Friend.
In recent weeks a video appeared on the Kazzura Youtube channel titled “Putin’s childhood friend now living in Gorlovka RF has betrayed us, UA leave us alone” The video features an interview with a former Putin friend and schoolmate named Vladimir Alexandrovich Venzin.
The majority of the interview is an unremarkable retelling of Venzin’s connection with Putin, with the information that Putin wanted to be a spy as very young boy the only memorable part.
In the last quarter of the interview the subject matter changes to current events.
“Well, I have always been proud of my acquaintance with Volodya (Vladimir Putin) of our friendship. Just a year ago it was like that.”
“Now my opinion about him has changed dramatically of course. And it’s not just my opinion that has changed but that of all Donetsk residents. If just a year ago people were praising him like some god, then now people are cursing him. Because he has provoked such a situation here, provoked a war. A very real, full scale war and then “fled into the bushes.” “If you compare what he said in spring 2014 to what he says now.. It’s like two completely different people.. It just hurt that we were used as cover for the operation of the“annexation of Crimea.”
“They just used people “in blind” as it is called. “
“But this, I think it’s dishonourable from Russia.and whereas a year ago we would all switch our television’s on every day waiting to hear that that Russia has started sending it’s troops.”
“Today people simply spit whenever they hear the name of Russia. Because Russia has betrayed Donbass.
Whereas a year ago people said that “Russia does not abandon it’s people.” then now they’re silent “as loud as possible.” about it.” (They speak loudly of other subjects to avoid mentioning this unpleasant truth)
This stunning denunciation is followed by an analysis of the motives behind the change.
“There might be many reasons here, his (Putin’s) rhetoric has changed dramatically….maybe some Russian oligarchs are pressing him or perhaps he submitted to the blackmail from the United States?
That is unlikely however as he is quite a strong willed person.. I do not know the reasons nor do I want to guess about them.”
The Interview Concludes with Vladimir Alexandrovich Venzin making a plea for Russian military assistance and a denunciation of the Ukraine Government.
“The situation is critical. Diplomatic measures do not help here. It should be done like Abkhazia here.” (Abkhazia is the largely unrecognised breakaway pro-Russian republic that is formally part of Georgia that Georgia attacked in 2008 following extensive provocation, enabling a crushing Russian military response where the RF Air force destroyed the military forces of Georgia over several weeks of a completely one sided battle. In the Ukraine this would translate as the Russian Air Force destroying all the Ukraine military units East of Kiev. The leader of Georgia at the time of the 2008 Abkhazia war was Mikheil Saakashvili now bizarrely appointed the Governor of Odessa oblast, presumably on the recommendation of the USA.) “I’d like to appeal to all Ukrainians: Leave us alone. Let us live as we want. This is not your land, it is our land and you got it only due to a mistake thanks to “Grandpa Lenin”.“
[eng subs] Vladimir Solovyov explains RF policy and situation with Donbass/refugees
The Response from the Russian federation to the Perception of Betrayal. Vladimir Solovyov is a prominent Russian television host and journalist with a perceived closeness to the Russian Government. Solovykov recently hosted a town hall meeting for refugees from the Donbass region of Eastern Ukraine. This video is also from the Kazzura channel.
The important part of the video begins with a geeky looking young man asking Solokyov a question.suggesting that the reunion of the Donetsk residents in Russia is simply:
“Basically how (to make) it so tha Donbass residents do not feel themselves betrayed?”
Vladimir Solovyov “You see, this is such an interesting phrase. First of all no-one betrayed them as no-one has promised them anything yet. These are crucial moments which people are imagining things to themselves. Putin said that we will not allow the conflict to be solved by force. We won’t.”
Putin said that we will not allow the humanitarian disaster so Russia sends insane amounts of humanitarian cargoes. Of course I understand everything. But I have a different question.(you said) “Donbass mustn’t feel itself betrayed.” More than… well… a million people have arrived here from Donbass. Half of them are men. No-one knows what are they doing here. Well take arms and go defend your motherland. Because it’s like you want us to arrive and die, fight for you, (crowd applauds) And you arrive here and say (pretends to be an ape) “Gimme…We are refugees.” Wait a minute, Is this your Motherland? Then fight it back. But if it’s “Give me shit, give me spoon, teach me how to eat it”, it’s something new. It’s just that people should realise some responsibility for the decisions (they have made).”
So the message is pretty clear. Be grateful for what the RF has done for you and accept that we know best.
The Reality- the Bitter Truth of Proxy Wars.
The sad truth lurking behind the Donbass war is that despite the sincerity of many of the combatants, the war was a proxy war and only one strand in a widespread power struggle between the Western war party and the Russian Federation.
The only correct policy for a mid-sized and strategically placed nation such as the Ukraine is to never ever accept that you must choose sides but seek to have positive relationships, with both the EU/West and the Russian Federation. The Ukraine should never allow itself to be drawn into either camp but should seek positive relations with both at all times.
The people of the Donbass region have suffered terribly and the sad fact is that they are and will remain trapped between the interests of the great powers engaged in the current power struggle in Eastern Europe.
After several months of an increasingly fractured ceasefire major fighting has now resumed in the area of Marinka and Shirokino and given the fact that only half-hearted attempts have been made to resolve the crisis the full-scale resumption of the conflict is now apparently inevitable.
Grad rockets have returned, Armour has returned, small-scale offensive operations are underway on both sides and the scale of civilian casualties and property destruction has risen dramatically recently.
The Minsk agreement tried to put in place a framework for ending the conflict and represented a genuine opportunity to resolve the crisis peacefully but the will to enforce the Minsk agreement was never present within the Ukraine Government nor their main sponsor the United States. The comparatively rational Germans and French appear to have been completely marginalised.
“Immediate and full ceasefire in particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts of Ukraine and its strict fulfilment as of 00.00 midnight (Kiev time) on Feb. 15, 2015.”
“Pull-out of all heavy weapons by both sides to equal distance with the aim of creation of a security zone on minimum 50 kilometres apart for artillery of 100mm calibre or more, and a security zone of 70km for MLRS and 140 kilometres for MLRS Tornado-S, Uragan, Smerch and tactical missile systems Tochka U. for Ukrainian troops, from actual line of contact; for armed formations of particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts of Ukraine, from the contact line in accordance with the Minsk memorandum as of Sept. 19, 2014 ”
“The pullout of the above mentioned heavy weapons has to start no later than the second day after the ceasefire and finish within 14 days. ”
“This process will be assisted by OSCE with the support of the Trilateral Contact Group. ”
“Effective monitoring and verification of ceasefire regime and pullout of heavy weapons by OSCE will be provided from the first day of pullout, using all necessary technical means such as satellites, drones, radio-location systems etc”.
“On the first dayafter the pullout a dialogue is to start on modalities of conducting local elections in accordance with the Ukrainian legislation and the Law of Ukraine “On temporary Order of Local Self-Governance in Particular Districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts,” and also about the future of these districts based on the above mentioned law.”
People can make claim and counterclaim about who shot first in any situation but the political process that was signed onto by the Ukraine Government has been ignored completely. All the political steps were completely ignored.
“Without delays, but no later than 30 days from the date of signing of this document, a resolution has to be approved by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, indicating the territory which falls under the special regime in accordance with the law “On temporary Order of Local Self-Governance in Particular Districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts,” based in the line set up by the Minsk Memorandum as of Sept. 19, 2014. ”
“Provide pardon and amnesty by way of enacting a law that forbids persecution and punishment of persons in relation to events that took place in particular departments of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts of Ukraine. ”
“Provide release and exchange of all hostages and illegally held persons, based on the principle of “all for all”. This process has to end – at the latest – on the fifth day after the pullout (of weapons). ”
“Provide safe access, delivery, storage and distribution of humanitarian aid to the needy, based on an international mechanism.”
“Define the modalities of a full restoration of social and economic connections, including social transfers, such as payments of pensions and other payments (income and revenue, timely payment of communal bills, restoration of tax payments within the framework of Ukrainian legal field) ”
“With this aim, Ukraine will restore management over the segment of its banking system in the districts affected by the conflict, and possibly, an international mechanism will be established to ease such transactions.”
“Restore full control over the state border by Ukrainian government in the whole conflict zone, which has to start on the first day after the local election and end after the full political regulation (local elections in particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts based on the law of Ukraine and Constitutional reform) by the end of 2015, on the condition of fulfilment of Point 11 – in consultations and in agreement with representatives of particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts within the framework of the Trilateral Contact Group. ”
“Pullout of all foreign armed formations, military equipment, and also mercenaries from the territory of Ukraine under OSCE supervision. Disarmament of all illegal groups.”
“Constitutional reform in Ukraine, with the new Constitution to come into effect by the end of 2015, the key element of which is decentralisation (taking into account peculiarities of particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, agreed with representatives of these districts), and also approval of permanent legislation on special status of particular districts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts in accordance with the measures spelt out in the footnotes, by the end of 2015. The Ukraine Government appears not to have ever tried to live up to the spirit of the Minsk agreement, did not once seek to engage in dialogue with the self-proclaimed Eastern Ukraine Republics despite pledging to do so when entering into the agreement.and the flow of refugees will now resume.”
Why is the US Supporting the abrogation of the Minsk agreement?
Minsk is an ambitious plan to completely end the conflict and reintegrate the parts of Donetsk and Lugansk outside the control of the Ukraine government back into the Ukraine after a process of political reform and fresh elections in these districts. The document clearly envisages the complete disbandment of the DPR and LPR armed formations also, following elections.
Both sides agreed to the Minsk accords, it is not a one sided document and it is a plan for the reunification of the Ukraine and the restoration of the territorial integrity of the Ukraine (minus Crimea )
Why did the Ukraine Government sign up to this (twice) if they had no intent on engaging in the requisite political actions required of them under the agreement?
The Ukraine government have dishonoured themselves with their conduct (no, they do not care) and they have also dishonoured and made fools of all of the sponsors of this agreement.
Brzezinski Explains Obama.
Any wondering why the US Obama government has done a positive thing by seeking rapprochement with Iran and at the same time Obama is saying the most ridiculous things he has said on any subject about Russia
and considers the policies incompatible needs to understand that the “wizard” standing behind the Obama marionette is Zbigniew Brzezinski and suddenly it all makes sense. Nuland and Pyatt are not rogue Neocons, they are team players, also working for Brzezinski who is obsessed with Russia and long has advised the use of Iran as an ally against Russia, that is the reason for the wildly differing policies between rationality and diplomacy with Iran but support for the most bellicose and destructive forces in Eastern Europe. This group also includes George Soros, this is the same faction.
This also explains the indifference towards Israel, which is seen (fairly) as being completely untrustworthy, but more importantly the Middle East is of secondary interest as a battle ground, it is more the place to gather energy allies and other allies to use against Russia.
Other People Always pay the Price in the Great Game.
Dozens, hundreds or thousands of non combatants will lose their homes and their lives and it is already happening. Ukraine: ‘Over 90 people injured in Donetsk shelling’- DPR’s Basurin
There is literally zero chance that the Ukraine Government forces will be able to reclaim the territory of the self proclaimed Republics of the Donbass as whatever force needs to be applied to prevent that from happening will be supplied from Russia.
The Government of Russia has clearly decided that the Ukraine joining NATO represents an unacceptable security threat. The continued existence of the Eastern Republics, Donetsk and Lugansk within the Ukraine guarantees that this goal will be achieved. Whether through politics or the force of arms the LPR and DPR exist for Russia as the simple low cost tools that enable Russia to prevent the Ukraine joining NATO for the foreseeable future.
The Novorussians for their part are extremely unlikely to be able to take Mariupol or make any significant territorial gains. Any attempt to attack Mariupol will likely see them lose the moral high ground as they will suddenly be the outside force attacking a large civilian population center. Playing the role the Ukraine military has played over the past year. That of the destroyer.
It is impossible to say how far this will go or how many more will die but nothing good will come from this.
The bravado and delusion of the Ukraine forces seems to return undiminished within weeks or months of the last devastating defeat. They seem to go through the motions of a ceasefire, as they rebuild their positions and then suffer a near identical fate once again.
The Novorussians appear to have made a genuine attempt to respect the ceasefire but their commitment understandably dissolved in the face of constant provocations from the Ukraine side that never paid the ceasefire any heed.Certainly within weeks the attacks resumed.
The Novorussian forces have also been conducting small scale offensive operations for the past several months. It can only be hoped that the War is not escalated significantly.There is unlimited potential for carnage here potentially. \\
US, Canadian and British “trainers” are on the ground. Only small steps away from participation in the war.
[eng subs] Maryinka: 03/06/15 DPR RG tanks working
There are clearly high tensions between the US and Russia which were displayed publicly in the Black Sea earlier this week when a Russian fighter jet flew low aggressive passes near several US Naval vessels including the destroyer USS Ross.
Close Encounter: Russian fighter jets buzz US navy destroyers
Sanity Can Still Prevail.
The death toll from the war in the Donbass region at the start of June is quoted at 6400, approximately ywo hundred people have died in the almost four months of “ceasefire”. However many people are added to this tragic toll before the war ends, their deaths will have been unnecessary and the result primarily of the bellicosity and delusion of the major Western powers who for reasons that remain unfathomable, believe they have the right to rule the world. Astonishing when you consider the catastrophic track record of destroying nations over the past decade.
The deluded Western elite apparently still believe that they can pose as the forces of salvation and righteousness, the sole guardians of wisdom and the owners of the only way with both a right and an obligation to achieve total world domination regardless of the delusional nature of the goal or the human cost.
These people need to be completely removed from power forever or the madness and carnage will know no end.
A far more in depth and detailed analysis of events in the Donbass region is available here.
May 24th, 2015. Prominent Novorussian figure and leader of the Lugansk based Prizrak (Ghost) brigade Alexei Mozgovoi and as many as six other people have died after a complex ambush against their vehicles on the road between Lugansk and the town of Alchevsk, some 40 kilometres (27 miles) from Lugansk. Alexei Mozgovoi’s vehicle part of a convoy have apparently been attacked with a roadside bomb and fire from multiple automatic weapons. There appear to have been at least three vehicles attacked, civilians appear to have died in the ambush, including a woman. The cars were thoroughly raked with gunfire from several directions. The attackers were well prepared and clearly well trained judging from the pattern of fire to the vehicle’s windscreen.
There will be no competent investigation from any side. It would seem to be a reasonable assumption that pro Kiev forces organised his death. There had been at least one recent failed attempt to assassinate Mozgovoi in early March after which he made a typically calm yet defiant response via Youtube, an outlet that features many of Alexei Mozgovoi speeches to camera, at the Kazzura and Novorussia channels. A Kiev backed assassination would also make sense given that the Ukraine government is apparently planning a fresh major assault on the Donbass region in the near future. The war is slowly escalating, the multiple rocket launchers, the MLRS or Grad systems are back in use according to the OCSE and this is another step in the process that will see the resumption of full hostilities in the near future.
Donbass War A Human Tragedy that Needs to End..
An estimated 6200 people have died in the year long Donbass war so far, most of the casualties have been the civilians of the Donbass region of Eastern Ukraine. This is a tragedy but one that risks being multiplied many times over the longer the parties to the conflict are allowed to ignore the pledges that they have made to negotiate an end to the conflict.
Ukraine: Famous LPR militia leader murdered in ambush
LPR briefing on Alexei Mozgovoi assassination
These videos depicts the aftermath of the attack. Not for the overly sensitive and this is not meant as disrespect for the dead. The scene is a big part of the story.
[eng subs] 18+ Alexei Mozgovoi assassination crime scene
Ukraine: Investigators arrive at scene of ‘Phantom Brigade’ commander’s killing *GRAPHIC*
A Unique Individual. Alexei Mozgovoi was a unique individual and these videos give an insight into his character. His death is another sad and unnecessary loss of this unnecessary war.
Mozgovoi addresses Putin [ENG SUBS]
Alexei Mozgovoi interview 08/03/15 “I’m not going to yield to provocations
Ukraine: ‘Ghost’ battalion head Alexei Mozgovoy’s funeral attracts thousands
“Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko has signed into law legislation that bans the use of communist symbols.
It is part of a package of laws designed to make a complete break with the country’s Soviet past and bring the country closer to Europe. But critics say the move severely restricts free speech and will divide society. ”
This is a brief overview from Stephen Lendman at Global Research.
“Kiev’s regime is a US-installed, illegitimate, lawless, Nazi infested, fascist police state in Europe’s heartland – waging naked aggression on its own people, risking regional peace and stability. Russians, Jews and others are vilified. Rule by intimidation is official policy.”
“In April, a “decommunization” process began – banning communist and Soviet era symbols and values, including longstanding statues and street names.”
It was such a bizarre thing to do, even by the standards of the Nuland/Pyatt authored walking disaster that is the Kiev government that it took me a while to understand what they were trying to do with this.
This seems to be a truly pathetic attempt to portray the forces opposing the Kiev US puppet government as simply recalcitrants nostalgic for the the Soviet Union,
The really strange thing about this is that the groups fighting the Kiev government do not use Soviet symbols particularly that I have noticed. It is not there in the flag of the DPR.
Nor in the near identical flag of the Lugansk enclave.
Soviet symbols banned Nazi symbols on Parade!
What really stands out is the way that various paramilitary groups allied with the the Ukraine government routinely and explicitly use the symbols of fascist Nazi Germany including on the very flag of the Azov battalion!
By banning the use of Soviet symbology whilst offering no sanction for the use of NAZI symbology the Ukraine government is only making clear their approval of the use of fascist ideology and symbology in the forces fighting on their side.
And how absolutely laughable of the Ukraine government to attempt to show their separation from and opposition to Soviet totalitarianism with their own, comically stupid show of totalitarianism.
April 25th, 2015. UKRAINE ALLIES GO ISIS!
The Azov Battalion Crucified a Man and Burned Him Alive on Video!!
Ukraine’s ISIS. Members of neo-Nazi Azov battalion crucifying & burning a “separatist”
These are our allies. These are forces the US recently sent three hundred military training forces to aid. The forces the Australian Prime Minister stated we were “all behind”. They appear to have crucified a man and burned him alive on video. It is one of the worst things I have ever seen.
The video shows a man being nailed to a cross in an outdoor setting, a forest clearing, by a group of masked men who claim t be from the Azov battalion. The video is coming from Novorussian sources, Kazzura posted it on their second channel but it was removed but I found it on a channel called Russian Insider. The video shows the man being nailed to the cross and the men set a fire underneath him after raising the cross. The video cuts off as the man begins to scream (his mouth is taped up) as the flames below begin to reach him.
All of these propaganda videos deserve to be treated with skepticism, this may be a hoax, but the footage appears to be authentic.
I have previously found footage where a member of the Azov battalion admitted to the torture of captured fighters. That doesn’t prove anything of course.
Who are the Azov battalion?
The Azov battalion are one of several so called “Volunteer” or “political” units, or militias that fight for the Ukraine but are not formally part of the Ukraine army. They are basically right wing ultra-nationalist militia integrated into the Ukraine military due to necessity. The Ceasefire and the Minsk Agreement.
The ceasefire in the Donbass never took hold, but has been breaking very slowly, in small steps. The bottom line is that the Ukraine Government has treated the Minsk agreement with contempt, they showed no interest at any time in negotiating a settlement with the DPR and LPR leadership despite pledging to do so at the moment of the ceasefire.
Until this changes the war will presumably grind from failed ceasefire to failed ceasefire with the Ukraine government presumably hoping that if it is still ongoing in 2017, the next US administration may offer decisive help.
I have little doubt in the crucifixion videos authenticity, I am sure many will question it and it may turn out to be a fraud. I hope so, but I know what I saw. If the video is authentic it will be just one more chapter of horror from the same people who strangled a pregnant woman in Odessa last May, who shot their own people in the Maidan and presumably were also part of the broader group that destroyed flight MH17 and murdered all on board. That is not to forget the thousands of civilians slain in the indiscriminate bombardment of the Donbass region.
Nuland and Pyatt and Soros and Henri Levy must all be very proud of themselves.
Azov Battalion Member Admits to Torture POWs in Donbas