This incident may prove to have been a tragic accident or it could be far more serious. It is too early to speculate as to the cause of the crash but if reports that no distress signal was sent are true, and it is already established that the weather was favorable it is hard to imagine a mechanical fault or pilot failure resulting in the loss of the plane because under either scenario there is an overwhelming likelihood of a distress signal from the flight.
The dropping like a rock into the ocean for no apparent reason phenomenon has been seen in numerous air disaster in recent years from the Air France 447 disaster to the Air Asia 8501 calamity and many others.
State Department talking head John Kirby and many other current and former US officials have repeatedlywarned Russia of violent retribution for the defeat of the Western proxy forces in Syria on many occasions. If foul play has led to the demise of this aircraft those words may well come to haunt them and the world.
Updated- December 28th.
There were no survivors of the TU154 Black Sea crash. The flight voice and data recorders have been recovered and sources well connected with the Russia government claim that these and other data overwhelmingly point to pilot and/or mechanical error as the cause of the tragedy,
“According to a source close to investigation speaking to Interfax, initial readings from the black box appear to confirm the pilot error story. “The preliminary analysis of the flight recorder is complete,” said the unnamed source.
“It leads us to conclude that that the version of the catastrophe connected to mistakes made by the pilot of the aircraft, is the main version.”
Published record of the last session with the falling into the Black Sea in Sochi, the Tu-154
Three main scenarios behind Tu-154 plane crash in Black Sea
A month to the day after Russia entered the Syrian war in a big way, a Russian Aircraft carrying almost entirely Russian tourists is destroyed in the skies adjoining Israel. What an unhappy ”coincidence”.
It has become clear that someone has targeted the MetroJet Flight 7K9268 that was destroyed in Egypt yesterday leaving all 217 passengers and 7 crew aboard dead.
This statement can be made at this early stage in the investigation because it has become clear that the jet downed in Egypt has split into at least two pieces and there is really no way that the flight breaking up i the air is consistent with an accident.
Not all of the bodies have been recovered yet. The people on the ground are still searching for the dead. In a conventional mechanical failure accident the fuselage lands on the ground in one piece and although there has been at least one air disaster ascribed to a plane disintegrating in mid air, the China Airlines 611 incident of 2002 that left 225 dead, even a freak occurrence such as this would not account for the lack of a distress call from the pilot of the doomed Metro-Jet flight..
The lack of a distress call has been a repeated across several of the recent inexplicable air disasters. The Air Asia 8501 disaster late last year is one that comes to mind immediately. There was never any explanation as to why the pilots never transmitted a distress signal as the plane apparently stalled and fell to the ocean.
“EL-HASANA, Egypt: Egyptian rescue teams were looking Sunday for more victims of a Russian passenger plane crash in Sinai, widening the search after finding bodies scattered across eight square kilometers a day after the incident.
A military officer helping with the search told AFP that rescuers had found 163 bodies out of a total of 224 people who were on board the Airbus 321, which crashed after taking off from a Red Sea beach resort.”
That single story, printed in a pro-Western news organ, the Daily Star makes it clear that someone has done this. Mechanical failure will cause the plane to be unable to fly, it will not cause the distribution of the wreckage over a large area as we are seeing in Sinai.
Intent Signals Motive.
Once it is accepted that this was not an accident but an intended attack, then the obvious motive becomes clear.
Either someone is upset over the month-long Russian operation in Syria and they are expressing their displeasure, or someone is trying to frame someone for that..
The message would appear to be that there will now be attacks on Russian interests right across the world and there is nothing Russia can do about it except continue what they are doing in Syria and try to even up at a later date if they can identify the perpetrators.
It is quite unlikely that any ground anti-aircraft system was responsible for the destruction of MetroJet 7K9268, the height of the jet and the topography of the Sinai would make it seemingly impossible to hide a system of the required size in that area.
The prime methods would be appear to be either a remote hijacking, a bomb or an attack from a jet.
At this early stage the remote hijacking seems to be a non-starter as it fails to explain the mid-air destruction of the fuselage. The most likely explanation seems to be either a bomb on board, an air to air attack or something exotic.
Apocalypse in the Conventional Sense.
It is equally becoming clear that whether by accident or design, events are poised to spin out of all control in the near to mid-term future. It seems that an immense deadly war that dwarfs the current small-scale catastrophes is poised to break out.
The forces of darkness and evil cannot and will never accept that they have been usurped and are no longer the masters of the universe.
Russia has too much pride to back down in the face of their threats. The tactics that work against other merely inflame the Russians and add to their determination and animus towards the authors of evil.
Their mindset is calculating and methodical but there is an element of the Howard Beale character from Network, they have had enough and they are not going to take it anymore and this has been their position since the Ukraine coup of late February 2014.
Since February 2014 Russian officials have stated repeatedly that they are willing to fight a major nuclear war with the West if necessary.
The people who made those statements probably naively assumed it would never come to that.
The wreckage from this flight seems more like the wreckage from a bomb attack or rocket than the Lockerbie crash or the MH17 crash. The distribution of wreckage seems wider and the destruction of the plane seems greater than either of these known rocket and bomb cases.
Egypt: Russian plane crash debris seen strewn across the Sinai
First video from 7K9268 A321 crash site in Sinai
RT correspondent reaches crash site of doomed Airbus A321 airliner
Debris of crashed Russian 7K9268 A321 in Sinai
Egypt: Investigators recover personal belongings from crash site
Egypt: Russian delegation visits plane crash site in the Sinai
No survivors as Russian 7K9268 jet crashes with 224 on board
163 bodies recovered so far after Russian plane crash
Russia: Relatives of crash victims grieve at Pulkovo airport
Deadly plane crashes claim hundreds of lives in recent years
”A Metrojet (former Kogalym Avia, Kolavia) Airbus A321-200, registration EI-ETJ performing flight 7K-9268 from Sharm el Sheikh (Egypt) to St. Petersburg (Russia) with 217 passengers and 7 crew, was climbing through FL307 out of Sharm el Sheikh over the Sinai Peninsula (Position N30.16 E34.17) at 04:12Z when the aircraft disappeared from radar. Wreckage of the aircraft was later located in mountaineous terrain about 20nm south of Al-Arish (Sinai, Egypt).”
An Airbus A 321 operated by the Russian company Kogalymavia, known as Metro-jet has crashed in Egypt’s Sinai peninsula. All 224 people on board the flight are assumed to have died. There are reports that the jet has been found in the region of southern Arish and is “totally destroyed”. It is interesting that many people are reporting that the plane broke into two pieces. It is also being claimed that the speed of the plane’s descent, at around 6,000 feet per minute is not consistent with even double engine failure. In the case of double engine failure the flight could glide to the ground far more slowlyaviation specialists are claiming.
‘A security officer from the search and rescue team dispatched to the scene said the Russian airline Kogalymavia, known as Metrojet, was “completely destroyed with all on board likely to have died”.
The cause of the crash is not known.It is more than seven months since the last previous major air disaster, the German Wings Flight 9525 incident of March that was blamed ludicrously on a suicidal pilot. .
The Metro-jet flight was scheduled to fly from Sharm el Sheikh to St. Petersburg and disappeared 23 minutes into flight. It is being reported that the flight made a rapid descent for several minutes prior to disappearing.
The Sinai peninsula was the part of Egypt that Israel occupied between 1967 and 1982 when they left the region under the peace deal between Egypt and Israel negotiated under the US Carter administration.
The Israelis completed their Sinai departure on April 25th, 1982.
The Sinai region of Northern Egypt is at least in part under the control of fighters who have pledged allegiance to the “Islamic State” leader Baghdadi and operate under the name Wilyat (region) Sinai.
One interesting report that surfaced in recent days was the alleged leak of a conversation during which plans were being made to conduct a series of false flag attacks in Syria in order to promote war between the US and Russia.
The plot supposedly unveiled by the leak involved a series of events, including the destruction of a Kurdish village on Syria to be blamed on Russian war planes. The shoot down of a Russian aircraft and also a US plane to be somehow blamed on the Russians.
When I came across this on Friday it was filed under the “too good to be true” tag. After the demise of Metrojet 9268 it is hard to see it that way. Now it seems that the plot they stumbled upon centered in the Ukraine and Georgia was only one of several scheduled as the Western elite seek to make their displeasure towards Russia known via the customary “deep message” method.
This is the key excerpt.
“So, the whole group will be in Latakia, in the Al-Nusra zone, the goal is to shoot down American plane. They will get flight information, there is a local Kurd there for that. The plan is turning out very cool! American plane will be shot down by Russian military. This will be told by the Prisoner, that the target was shot down from PZRK. The scene will be amusing, the whole world will talk about it.’
“After this group will go to Hasaka, it is a city near the Kurds and there they will destroy a Kurdish village, the Russians will do everything. In return, the Kurds will shoot down a Russian plane with Stingers. The goal is to pit the Americans and Russians in Syria. The Turks will be grateful, they promise to rouse the Crimean Tatars.’
ISIL in Sinai Claim Responsibility?
These claims are never to be accepted at face value and Flight 7k9268 was flying at 31,000 feet when it first experienced a problem. This height is beyond the reach of all manpad anti-aircraft systems and a complete multi-vehicle anti-aircraft system with a radar as well as firing vehicle would be required to strike a plane at that altitude , but it is interesting that someone is claiming responsibility for this in their name.
“The fighters of the Islamic State were able to down a Russian plane over Sinai province that was carrying over 220 Russian crusaders. They were all killed, thanks be to God,”
Mohamed Ibrahim @Ipress_
#Sinai IS branch claims responsibility for the Russian Plane Crash #KGL9268 #Egypt
The Guardian reported that the Russian and Egyptian Governments believed the claims were not true
“Russia’s transport minister Maksim Sokolov has said that the claim Islamic State militants brought down the plane “can’t be considered accurate”.
Shadi Bushra, reporting for the Guardian in Cairo, has also spoken to Mohamed Samir, Egypt’s army spokesman, who also refuted the claim.
They can put out whatever statements they want but there is no proof at this point that terrorists were responsible for this plane crash.
We will know the true reasons when the civil aviation authority in coordination with Russian authorities completes its investigation.
But the army sees no authenticity to their claims or their video.’
There is zero chance this video is authentic. Even if the highly unlikely ISIL in Sinai claim turns out to be correct, there is almost no chance this is the right plane. The video seems old, modern mobile phones and cameras do not produce images like this and it is also clear that the aircraft in this video is flying far lower than 31, 000 feet.
The reader can decide for themselves.
ISIS Claimed Video of Russian Sinai Shoot Down
It is very strange that the bodies of the victims are starting to arrive at the Cairo morgue yet no footage of the crash scene or wreckage has surfaced.
Egypt: Victims of Russian passenger plane crash arrive at morgue in Cairo
Other than the fact that Metro-jet 9268 has crashed in the Sinai and those on-board are probably dead, this event remains a mystery and to try to draw even speculative conclusions is foolish at the moment.
The possibility that is deeply worrying at this time is that a US airliner were to meet a similar fate in the near future.
I cannot confirm the authenticity of the Fort Russ leak. It may well be true, or it is possibly an act of psychological warfare but there is one thing that they got right for sure and that is that the plotters want major war between Russia and the USA because without it they lose. In Ukraine and in Syria they lose unless they can initiate a major war.
The tragic demise of Metro-jet 7K9268 will not be enough on its own to accomplish their goals. It is therefore highly likely that whatever the cause of the Metro-jet disaster in Egypt, we will see an increase in desperate attempts to foment major war in the near future.
First video from 7K9268 A321 crash site in Sinai
Egyptian authorities retrieve black boxes of crashed Russian plane
Russia: Relatives of crash victims grieve at Pulkovo airport
7K9268: Russian passenger jet with 224 on board crashes in Egypt, no survivors
Russia: Mourners lay flowers and candles at Pulkovo airport
Russian civilian airliner with 224 passengers crashes in Sinai Peninsula
100 bodies, incl 5 children, extracted from 7K9268 A321 crash site
Russian civilian airliner with 224 passengers crashes in Egypt
Egypt PM: Russian jet crashes in Sinai Peninsula
Deadly plane crashes claim hundreds of lives in recent years
In the year since MH17 was destroyed it has become very clear that there is little or no interest in the truth behind this event from any of the states involved.
The preliminary results of the investigation into this event shed no light on what happened nor who was responsible, referring futilely to the fact the Boeing aircraft was struck by “high-velocity objects that penetrated the aircraft from outside.”
The fact that the terms of the investigation extend veto power over information released to all the four nations involved, including the Ukraine erases all confidence in the investigation and means that the entire process was corrupted on the date the investigation begun.
If the Western political leadership had any real concern for the truth in this matter, or even any pretensions towards even APPEARING to have an interest in the truth about this tragedy they would never have allowed the Ukraine to have veto power over the investigation
In addition, the raw data that will form the basis of the investigative findings will never be released under the provisions of Dutch law.
“The investigation information is protected by Dutch law (Dutch Kingdom Act) . This act determines that only the information issued in the Final Reports is public, sources and files containing investigation information are not publicly accessible. In case of the investigation into the cause of the MH17 crash, the Dutch Safety Board works by the international ICAO agreement, annex 13. (emphasis added)
In the Netherlands it is possible to register a WOB (Open Government Act) with the body involved. But I point out the fact that the Kingdom Act concerning the Dutch Safety Boardexcludes investigation information from the WOB. There is no possibility to get any access to investigation information by the Dutch Safety Board if you are not a member of the investigation team. “
The investigation is thus clearly intended to be another in the Lockerbie or TWA 800 style farce where the facts are fashioned towards a predetermined conclusion and all contrary information simply discarded.
There has been a lot of strong journalistic work on this case, possibly the only bright spot in the whole mess. Some of the best work has been done by journalists from a mainstream background with Robert Parry a prime example.
The recent piece by Parry “MH 17 Case Sinks into Propaganda Fog provides a coherent explanation as to why the investigation into the tragedy remains a non-event.
“A source who has been briefed on the outlines of the investigation said some U.S. intelligence analysts have reached a contrary conclusion and place the blame on “rogue” elements of the Ukrainian government operating out of a circle of hard-liners around one of Ukraine’s oligarchs. Yet, according to this source, the U.S. analysts will demur on the Dutch findings, letting them stand without public challenge “
“Throughout the Ukraine crisis, propaganda and “information warfare” have overridden any honest presentation of reality – and the mystery around the MH-17 disaster has now slipped into that haze of charge and counter-charge. Many investigative journalists, including myself, have been rebuffed in repeated efforts to get verifiable proof about the case or even informational briefings.”
“ Over the past 11 months, the DNI’s office has offered no updates on the initial assessment, with a DNI spokeswoman even making the absurd claim that U.S. intelligence had made no refinements of its understanding about the tragedy since July 22, 2014.”
“I’m told that the reason for the DNI’s reversal from openness to secrecy was that U.S. intelligence analysts found no evidence that the Russian government had given the rebels sophisticated anti-aircraft missiles capable of downing an aircraft at 33,000 feet, the altitude of MH-17, and that an examination of U.S. satellite and electronic intelligence instead implicated extremists linked to Ukraine’s U.S.-backed regime, although not to Kiev’s political leadership.”
Satellite Imagery- the “Dog that did not bark.”
On July 20th, 2014 US Secretary of State John Kerry appeared on US television and referred to the US having “imagery” depicting the launch of the missile that destroyed flight MH17. Kerry may simply have misspoken but it can be confidently assumed that the launch of a missile in Eastern Ukraine at a time of high tension could not possibly have evaded the surveillance capabilities of the US.
Therefore the complete lack of supporting photographic evidence from the United States in the circumstances can only rationally be explained by the fact that the imagery the US possesses contradicts the Western propaganda narrative. This is as Parry writes a classic example of “the Dog that did not bark.”
This remains, amidst the welter of often self contradictory propaganda claims from both sides, a powerful and incontrovertible piece of inductive evidence.